The Left’s Collective Mental Health is Tied to NATE SILVER — his oddball predictions are all that’s keeping them together at this point
I find this fascinating…and kind of wish I had been at least a psychology minor in college because I’d love to have a better handle on what drives people to believe in charlatans and hucksters right now. I took one or two psychology courses for my core requirements, but think it would have been very helpful to study more on the subject because as a political writer I seem to observe so many crazy people on a daily basis.
There is a man who you might have never heard of named Nate Silver who has become the new high priest of the Obama cult. Silver, according to this article, is some kind of writer at the New York Times who also runs one of their offshoot websites. I’d never heard of him until after the Denver presidential debate when I started seeing his name pop up on Facebook on the pages of many lefties that I monitor. Clearly, he must appear on MSNBC a lot or something, because the Left really loves this guy and uses him to calm any fears that lefties have in the lead up to next week’s election.
What happens is something like this (and it’s repeated over and over on the Facebook pages of the Leftists I watch online):
Lucy Lefty: I’m scared that Obama’s really going to lose and that the polls are lying to us when they say he’ll win.
Angry Lefty: Shutup! Nate Silver says Obama has a 75% chance of winning. He’s smart. He writes for the NYT. He did the math.
Lucy Lefty: That makes no sense because how can he get that 75% chance thing? Did he just make that up? That’s like saying my cat said Obama will win and everyone knows my cat lies to avoid being called a racist.
Angry Lefty: Shutup! Nat Silver knows that Obama will win Iowa and Ohio and New Hampshire and will win North Carolina and Virginia too. Nate Silver said it, so SHUTUP!
It never gets more detailed than that…but is just a lot of repeating that “Nate Silver said…” or “I heard Nate Silver say…” or “Nate Silver wrote…” over and over again.
Psychologists reading this, please help me identify the proper terminology here…but I think something like this is happening: the Left has built a psychological wall that’s keeping out the reality that Barack Obama is going to lose on November 6th; they don’t want to deal with the messy emotions associated with realizing that, yes, in fact Obama is going to lose and will be just a one-term, failed president. So they built this wall, and the wall is named “Nate Silver”.
If this was a video game, the energy forcefield the Left would trigger to block out any information they don’t want to hear would be called “Nate Silver said…” and it would completely envelop their character on the screen in an impenetrable shell that deflects all reality.
“Nate Silver said” is a magic spell the lefties mutter that lets them breathe without fear that, yes, Obama is really losing this.
Whenever anyone questions whether Obama will win on the Left…someone just shouts “NATE SILVER SAID!” and the rest of the lefties on the page join in to beat down the person who tried to note that none of this makes any sense, because Obama is clearly losing and the propaganda that the Ministry of Truth is still pushing at this point isn’t the least bit believable anymore.
Honestly, to even get a poll that shows Obama in the lead Minitru must now conjure samples that are (D+9) or even (D+10) when the best Democrats have ever managed for a partisan advantage was (D+7) in 2008 (aka, their best showing ever in a modern political race). This year, the electorate is going to be (R+2) or so (if not higher)…so all the polls Minitru’s been pushing are based in a BizarroWorld of complete opposites where Democrats are more beloved than ever after four years of Obama in the White House. This is just not true. It’s actually pure madness.
Nate Silver has emerged as the Left’s Baghdad Bob, even more so than Chris Matthews on MSNBC (who I normally call “Baghdad Bob”). For those who don’t remember, the real Baghdad Bob was Saddam Hussein’s Minister of Information who would go on tee-vee every day claiming that Saddam was winning the war and that there were no American troops in Baghdad; meanwhile, in the background RIGHT BEHIND HIM, a truckload of American GIs would roll by, drop trow, and moon the Iraqi cameras while Baghdad Bob was talking. It was hilarious…and Americans of all stripes mocked the shameless propaganda of Saddam Hussein’s regime.
Here in 20102, I don’t think it’s all that funny that the American media has truly become a Ministry of Truth for the Obama Regime…and I hope there will be consequences for all the propaganda that was pushed in the lead up to the election. I hope even the Leftists out there get angry that MSNBC and the New York Times lied to them so aggressively while serving Obama. If Nate Silver keeps telling these people that there’s no way Obama loses and that he says there’s a 75% chance Obama’s going to win Ohio or North Carolina or other states that are clearly already lost to him, then I really worry about the emotional health of a lot of lefties who will be stunned out of their minds on November 6th when Romney wins in a big way.
Nate Silver is lying to all these people and at the moment they love being lied to because it’s allowing them to avoid dealing with an unpleasant reality.
It’s my theory, actually, that the games of make-believe and pretend will be facilitated through Halloween…because this is one of the Left’s favorite holidays. There’s costumes, lots of booze, candy, and the excuse to go wild in the middle of a work week with no family pressure linked to the major US get-together holidays like Thanksgiving and Christmas. I don’t think many on the Left want to even think about the election while there is still plenty of Halloween fun to be had today and tomorrow. But, come November 1st, I think they’ll start to work out of their Halloween hangovers and start to think about the election.
Will Nate Silver keep lying to them until the bitter end…or will he have a “Media Credibility Day” (a term coined by Peter Imgeni on his site DaTechGuy) and suddenly claim there was some sort of violent shift to Mitt Romney overnight and now Obama’s really going to lose the election so everyone better prepare for that?
All of the pollsters are going to have to admit that Romney’s going to win in the last days of the election…because all of them need to be right in the last poll before the votes are counted. Otherwise, their reputations are ruined and they can’t earn money as pollsters again. All of the deliberately skewed polls running (D+9) or (D+10) samples in an (R+2) or (R+3) year were designed to influence early voting and try to mitigate the destruction Democrats will face on week from now, with the thinking being that if the Ministry of Truth just kept saying Obama was winning that the Left would believe it and wouldn’t become demoralized and depressed and sit home. The goal was, in fact, to trick foolish conservatives into believing that Obama was winning so THEY would be freaked out and demoralized. Sadly, a great many conservative websites and pundits played the roles of Tokyo Roses and repeated a lot of Minitru’s lies to Republicans and we’ve seen a few weeks of needless panic and “worry” (a favorite word of these Eeyores) in conservative ranks…when in actuality the people who should have been freaking out this whole time are those on the Left.
Nate Silver’s oddball predictions of an Obama win despite all evidence to the contrary look to be the very last thing keeping the Left from an all-out meltdown. He really appears to be the wall that Democrats have erected to separate themselves from the harsh reality of Barack Obama’s coming defeat.
I’d love students of psychology to weigh in here and tell me what you think will happen when Nate Silver is discredited?
As in…what’s going to happen to him after the election? Will the Left turn on him…and take their anger out on him…for lying to them?
Or will the Left just lash out at Barack Obama for failing them?
Who gets the blame and becomes the focal point of the Left’s undying fury come November 7th?
© 2012, Kevin DuJan. All rights reserved.
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