Posts Tagged ‘Ukraine
Back in 2008, following Obama’s less than compelling reaction on the campaign trail to Russia invading neighboring Georgia, Sarah Palin remarked that Ukraine could be next. The left attacked her, mocked her, called her comments “strange” and “far-fetched”.
Today, the scenario is very real. Russia’s puppet parliament just voted unanimously to approve military action against Ukraine. This after paramilitary forces, likely of Russian origin and backing, have already seized government buildings and airports within the Crimean region of Ukraine.
Which means, all those fawning, sycophantic, Obama-protecting liberals… all those self-righteous, self-described “experts” on foreign policy… all those talking heads on the television were WRONG.
Sarah Palin was right, folks.
I wonder which of those supposed experts has the guts to admit it.
What is it that Rahm Emanuel likes to say? Never let a good emergency go to waste.
Ukraine, and the rest of Eastern Europe, really, is in serious financial trouble…so much so that there are runs on Ukrainian banks, with depositers unable to claim their cash.
The unrest and tension this causes has to be viewed in terms of not only the global economic meltdown, but in terms of Russian ambitions towards the Ukraine, and specifically, the Crimean port Russia wants to take back from the Ukraine.
Keep your eye on this. If unrest, riots, and disorded can be fomented in the Ukraine, watch Russia sweep in and take its port while chaos and emergency provide an opportunity to ram through what they want.
Sort of like Obama and the Trillion Dollar Spending Bill, and whatever Rahm Emanuel’s up to all day.
India seems to have evidence Pakistan knew in advance of the Mumbai bombings (and did nothing to stop them)
We don’t believe for a moment that India and Pakistan will allow this to lead to full scale war: the nukes in both of their hands keep that from happening. If nothing else happens in the next few months, this situation will cool off as it always does between these two neighbors. It is disconcerting, however, that Pakistan knew of the Mumbai bombings and did nothing to stop them. That’s a new twist in all of this. If there’s more proof of Pakistani awareness of other attacks on India in the future, all bets could be off, as that would be impossible to go unchallenged.
As Obama takes office, the media of course hypes the India/Pakistan and Gaza conflicts as the main challenges facing the new administration. We believe the invasion Putin’s planning of Ukraine to permanently reclaim the Crimea is a more pressing matter.
But the conflicts that are going to haunt and challenge the United States for the next four years are not any of the above, but instead will be found in Africa and Afghanistan. Samantha Power, one of Obama’s favorite advisers, has his ear, and her mission in life is to involve the United States in the bloody tribal violence and civil unrest in Africa, all across the continent, from Sudan to Somalia, Zaire to Zimbabwe. She wants American boots on the ground everywhere, while the biggest question we have is what, exactly, Obama will do in Kenya — since the American-backed government in Nairobi is the very same one Obama’s cousin Odinga launched a bloody campaign to unseat. Obama campaigned for his cousin in 2006, so why wouldn’t he help his cousin takeover Kenya in 2009?
The Taliban is resurgent in Afghanistan and needs to be eliminated once and for all. Will Obama do the right thing and send troops in to win our current forgotten war? The American public pays little attention to Afghanistan, so who knows what he will do there. But, if he does nothing, and especially if he withdraws the US troops that are there now, the Taliban will retake Kabul and the rest of the country. Count on that.
Today is January 5th. Russia cut gas supplies to the Ukraine on January 1st. Europe depends on Russian gas for 1/4 of its energy needs (while some European countries, like Poland, depend even more heavily on Russian gas and will not make it through the winter safely without it).
After Putin pulled this same stunt in 2006, Europe started storing gas in reserves — that will only last 3 weeks, tops.
Let’s do that math: 3 weeks = 21 days.
21 days after January 1st is roughly a day or two after Obama takes office.
So, Putin has engineered a serious energy threat to hit NATO allies while the Hope-Change crowd’s still hung over from the most expensive, lavish, and decadent Inauguration ever produced. When people like Leon Panetta, who has no intelligence experience, are nominated by Obama to lead the CIA and other experience-requiring arms of our geopolitical team…and when people like Samantha Power, the most naively dangerous woman in the world, lurk somewhere in the shadows encouraging the “let’s hug it out” approach to dealing with Russia that Obama displayed in August when Russia invaded Georgia (don’t worry, the World of Coke is fine).
Putin wants to take back the Crimea so the Russian naval base there is secured once and for all. Blackmailing Europe in the dead of winter with halted energy supplies in the opening days of what Putin perceives to be the weakest American administration ever installed is classic KGB gamesmanship.
Obama’s Care Bear stare won’t have the same effect on Russian grizzlies that it had on Chris Matthews, the rest of the American media, and his throngs of glassy-eyed followers — none of whom are paying any attention to the Ukraine and Russia’s imminent invasion.
We have an inauguration to stage! Our first black president! Yes we can! Yes we can! Hope! Change! Obama’s going to pay my mortgage! Michelle Obama is a fashion plate (who gets dressed in the dark)!
Meanwhile, in the real world, the grown-ups overseas (who got just the American president they always wanted), are gearing up to change the world…just not in the way the Kool-Aid gang promised.
Don’t blame us…we voted for Hillary, and then McCan/Palin.
The thing no one is talking about today: Putin takes first step towards invasion of the Ukraine by setting natural gas trap
Technically, this really isn’t the FIRST step Vladimir Putin’s taken towards his planned invasion of the Ukraine. It’s probably step 1,002, with almost all of them unreported in our news media. The only reason we’re aware of what’s going on is because a good friend is Ukrainian, and talks about what’s happening there a lot.
In a nutshell, what Putin did to Georgia earlier this year was a test run for what he’s going to do to Ukraine very soon — because he knows Obama will not be able to stop him (as a part of Obama starts thinking of peaches, Jimmy Carter, NeNe, and the Marquette Lounge whenever he gets “Georgia” on his mind). Obama’s vascillation and tepid ultimate response to the Russian invasion of Georgia earlier this year is the greenlight Putin was waiting for. Dear Leader’s kumbaya call for both sides to calm down and talk about the feelings that led to the conflict amounted to basically asking Russia and Georgia to put down the guns and hug it out (“Now, let’s draw a picture of how you want this situation resolved, and let’s use only our happiest crayons”).
If you think Khrushchev looked at Kennedy and saw a naive, inexperienced, and untested American to take advantage of, then what do you think Putin sees in Obama?
What does Putin draw with his happiest crayons?
Whatever it is, it appears Putin’s so cocksure he’ll win in these chess games with the new American president that he doesn’t bother to hide the moves he’s telegraphing. His gambit and strategy are clear: Russia antagonized Georgia for some time, manipulating it into attacking South Ossetia in August 2008. Once Georgia attacked, Russia used that as its excuse to destroy Georgia’s military capabilities – and get other concessions Putin wanted (including a test run on the strategy he’s employing against Ukraine). Russian troops remain in South Ossetia and other areas formerly under Georgian control, where they are likely to stay for a very long time.That’s part of a larger military strategy Putin has for the region, much of which is yet to be revealed.
What does Russia want from the Ukraine?
One guess our Ukrainian friend makes is that Russia is trying to provoke the Urkaine into doing something Putin will use as cover for permanently taking back the Crimea, which Khrushchev “gifted” to the Ukraine during the Soviet era. Back then, it really didn’t matter if the Crimea was considered within the Ukraine’s boundaries, but since the breakup of the Soviet Union, the fact the Crimea is in Ukrainian hands has been both a psychological and national security sorespot for Russians.
Well, the Crimea was part of what Russians psychologicallly considered “Russia”, and having it amputated from their nation has left scars and festering resentment since the 1990s. More than that, the Russian Fleet on the Black Sea is based in the Crimea, and there’s no other port that can accomodate the fleet on Russia’s coastline. When the USSR dissolved, an agreement was made between the Ukraine and Russia to keep the Crimean port under Russian control until 2017. Russia believed that agreement would be renewed indefinitely into the future, but the Ukraine has said in recent years it wants to redevelop the Crimean naval base into a civilian recreational and living facility, evicting the Russian Navy as soon as the agreement expires (8 years from now).
It appears to us Putin sees Obama as the perfect window of opportunity to take care of the Crimea/Ukraine situation now, because who knows what will happen in 2017 (or who the US president will be). If Russia can trick the Ukraine into a conflict like the South Ossetia War of August 2008, then Russia can permanently retake the Crimea, while Obama dithers and encourages more hugging, hand-holding, and kumbaya singing.
Hence, cutting off the Ukraine’s natural gas supplies today…on New Year’s Day, while most of the Western world is nursing New Year’s hangovers (some people we know didn’t wake up until five in the afternoon today) and the world media’s running retrospectives on 2008 or resolution fluff pieces, with critical reporters on holiday leave through the weekend. Today was a very smart day to sneak in a move against the Ukraine…and right at the start of the very worst of winter low temperatures. Putin probably figures this will provoke a response from the Ukraine in a week or two (because after a similar move ni 2006, Ukraine and the rest of Europe started storing gas, and those reserves will last at least 2 weeks), with a Russian counter-response shortly after Obama’s inauguration…catching the new administration off guard, toking on hopium.
All of this talk about natural gas supplies used as political weapons is hard for us to wrap our heads around here in Chicago, where the hemisphere’s largest producer of natural gas lives (especially productive on chili day at Harpo Studios). Since there’s no Ukrainian Oprah, Kiev’s up the Black Sea without a paddle on this one.
And for a guy whose idea of fun is going off into the woods to hunt tigers with his bare hands, any action the Ukraine takes after this gas stoppage will be twisted however Putin wants it, in whatever way’s best suited for a short war aimed at taking back the Crimea…this time for keeps.
Putin can’t wait!