Is This the Final Election Map for 2012? Romney = 301, Obama = 237? Or will it be an even higher margin of victory?
UnskewedPolls.com has done a great job of filtering through the propaganda that the Ministry of Truth has cooked into polls this election. The most recent electoral map over there shows a Romney win at 301 EVS to just 237 for Obama. That’s a 64-EV margin of victory.
I’ve always thought that Romney will win by between 70-80 EVs…and possibly over 100. So I think UnskewedPolls is a little too hesitant here.
The two big changes I’d make to their map are:
* Romney takes one EV in Maine, because Maine splits things by Congressional district and I believe Romney takes one of Maine’s 3 EVs this way.
* Romney wins New Mexico…which is going on a limb somewhat because this is a state that normally votes Democrat, but I think Governor Susana Martinez personally wins the state for Romney. She’s campaigning hard for him, is a dynamic person, and I believe the state’s fallen in love with her. I know I sure loved her speech at the Republican convention and expect big things from her in the future. I think she delivers for Romney.
* This would bring Romney’s EV total up to 307, versus Obama’s 230…for a difference of 70 EVs between them. Realistically, this is how big I think the win is going to be…barring a true cataclysm for Democrats where they lose Pennsylvania and Michigan.
I don’t think it’s possible for Obama to lose Pennsylvania and not lose Michigan too…so I think he either keeps both, or loses both. These are the only two states I see as toss-ups right now…with 36 EVs that could go to Romney in the extraordinary circumstances of this election. This is wildly new territory for Republicans to be in…and it’s pretty remarkable for observers of politics to consider a scenario where the Democrat incumbent loses Pennsylvania and Michigan. That loss would make Romney’s win in the 100 EV range…which would be remarkable.
In the last week of this election, look for any signs that Democrats are losing hold of Pennsylvania and Michigan. If they start diverting resources there, and start aggressively campaigning there, then we’ll know that these are the last two battlegrounds of this election.
The Ministry of Truth is still claiming that Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire, and Ohio are toss-ups…but don’t believe it. Those states are in Romney’s column and have been for quite some time. Personally, I think Obama lost reelection back in 2010 the day that Obamacare passed despite the fact that Americans coast to coast didn’t want Democrats to ram that legislation through the way they did. Minitru has run cover for Obama and the Left ever since, but it’s been obvious that the aggressive way Obamacare was handled permanently alienated Independents from Democrats and unified Republicans in opposition to the Left. Remember that Obama only won his election in 2008 by tricking Independents into thinking he’d be a moderate in office…and many Republicans were so delighted to have a black president that they broke ranks and voted for him too. None of those fools will be voting Democrat again this time.
Who’s left, then? People who vote Democrat no matter who is running and people who think Obama did a good job in these last four years. That is not a majority of people in states like Iowa, Colorado, New Hampshire or Ohio. Is that a majority of people in Michigan or Pennsylvania? We’ll know in a week…but I’m tempted to think, NO.
It is a majority of folks in California and New York…and it’s a majority in DC and Hawaii…but are there really enough people who vote Democrat no matter what and who think Obama’s done a good job in Michigan and Pennsylvania? Are the urban centers of Detroit and Philly strong enough to deliver their respective states to Obama?
That’s the big question we’re facing right now. I think this is where it breaks down to a 50/50 chance of Romney winning these states…and I think we might know more by November 1st, once Halloween is over and the Left starts showing more of its hand right before the election. We already know Romney’s going to win..but the guessing game is figuring out by how much…and I think in the next four or five days that the Left will tip us off to the right answer depending on how crazy they start behaving and how many resources are dumped into Michigan and Pennsylvania to hold their firewall there.
Can you even believe that the 2012 elections involve the new-battleground states of Michigan and Pennsylvania?
© 2012, Kevin DuJan. All rights reserved.
Help HillBuzz by Shopping Amazon
"Bee" Advised!
I look forward to your comments. Please follow these simple guidelines:
- Please do not complain about your comment not yet showing up
- Stay on topic of the article ("This is OT, but..." = bad!)
- I will STING if you troll, spam, bait, swear or attack someone
Kevin,
That map looks about right to me. That is the minimum that R/R will win. You are right about PN. If that state flips then the rout is on. That would put MI, NM, OR, WA and, dare I say it IL in to play.
Oh man that would be sweet to drink in the leftists tears. So yummy!
Obama is hated outside of Cook County, and from the sounds of it also in Cook County.
Romney has used his money in the must win states, rather than in the state where he had a shot. in 2008 Obama outspent McCain 7 to 1 in Indiana and won. Romney could have made a play in more states if he had the huge cash advantage Obama had in 2008.
The grass roots and the determination of the conservatives might pull of some upsets against the DNC.
Kevin, I’ll bet you have already seen this. It made my heart sing. It’s from Legal Insurrection. http://networkedblogs.com/E54JE
Black Chicagoans rage against the Obama, the leadership, the machine
A startling video released today by Jeremy Segal (“Rebel Pundit”) of Breitbart.com shows inner-city Black Chicagoans expressing outrage against President Obama, union racism, and the Democratic Machine, whom they say no longer represent their agenda.
Further, when money is directed at their community, it is funneled through so-called community-based organizations and nonprofits or unions, and never touches the residents themselves.
Community resident Paul McKinley says, “Everything in Chicago is controlled by the Democratic party. Everything in my community is controlled by Black Democrats. There is no Tea Party in my community. There is no Republicans. So they can’t blame the Tea Party.” Later, he says, “I tell you that the liberal agenda is not the black agenda, it is not the family agenda, and it is not the American agenda.”
Another woman interviewed, Jean Ray, said, “They feel they can just take us for granted, and we’re just going to vote Democratic anyways. But if there was a Republican out here doing what I felt they should be doing, I would vote for them.”
It goes beyond party politics. One woman, who describes how any money put into the community simply goes to (non-Black) union contractors, says, “As far as the community outreach, once again, these community organizations that’s taking money and shuffling paperwork, but not really reaching out to the community…The union won’t let us in, as a whole. They will not let us in. They will figure out any way to close the doors to us…I’m going to say it right out, they’re prejudiced against us”:
In an interview with LI, Segal, who conducted the investigation, said that members of the community came to him to look into the rising violence and murder rate in Chicago’s poor black communities. From his post “Exodus: Inner City Blacks Fleeing Obama, Democrats“:
In the course of an ongoing investigation into the root causes of the rising tide of violence and horrifying murder rate this year in Chicago’s most destitute neighborhoods, several video interviews I conducted with black American voters from the community-organized south and west side, reveal a community that is fed up with the status quo–the status quo that keeps these communities ridden with poverty, homelessness, unemployment, dismantled families, and, of course, skyrocketing murder rates. And residents say, “it is the black Democratic leadership implementing a liberal agenda” that is to blame for the ongoing plight in their community.
Already, Segal has received feedback from the community, including this email:
Thank for you exposure to this issue. I live on the southside in Englewood and do not support democratic agendas at all. I live in the heart of urban blight and would never support Obama or his policies. They are TOXIC to neighborhoods like mine. Contrary to popular belief, there IS an informed, conservative presence of working class people in Englewood, Chicago.
Segal said, “‘compassionate’ liberals who see this video and still vote for Obama are guilty of the ultimate hypocrisy. Clearly, the residents of this community can see how harmful continuing to reelect Democrats is to their community.”
The start of a revolution?
This article is heart-breaking about Chicago Blacks who have been so mistreated by Chicago Democrats, by Obama and the clients he represented who basically stole government funds for projects to help the poor neighborhoods but never did anything for them. Kevin you have been talking about this, but this really puts a face and voice to what you have been saying:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/26/Exodus-Inter-City-Blacks-Fleeing-Obama-Democrats
For more background on the above, specifically Obama’s relationships with the likes of Rezko and slumlord Bishop Arthur Brazier:
The Obama You Don’t Know:
http://washingtonexaminer.com/obama#.UFsJ-Ry9FIg
I am praying to God to help me find a way to help these people.
NM has voted for Republicans for President in the past. It went for Bush in 2004, and prior to 1992, it had gone Republican in every election from 1972 to 1988. But our population has changed, and I am not confident that my vote for Romney this year will amount to much. However, I just read that Republican Heather Wilson pulled ahead of Democrat Martin Heinrich in the Senate race to fill retiring Democrat Senator Bingaman’s seat. The poll has her ahead by just one point, 44-43, but she had been several points behind, and there are still 7% undecided in that poll, so I’m crossing my fingers that NM will ultimately go for Romney. Five EVs isn’t much, but it’s better than nothing!
I hope Heather wins, I don’t think she will, all the packs have pulled out. Has your Governor been helping her?
I share your concern over NM. I’m not certain Gov. Martinez is all that loved by the Hispanic constituency in her state. She was a phenomenal DA and that’s pretty much how she got elected, from what I hear. I live in Texas, so know a few over there! It has gone RED in the past…so maybe….but it will be iffy!
and now for something really stupid – you just cant make this up
they are soooo desperate
http://weaselzippers.us/2012/10/29/michael-moore-produces-anti-romney-video-for-moveon-org-features-elderly-woman-threatening-to-burn-this-motherfucker-down-if-obama-loses/
What does desperation smell like? Depends!
Hahaha… he has several of the potty-mouthed geriatric actors saying things like… “if the Republicans or Romney steal the election” (gee whiz, Mikey, you mean if the Dems/Oblaba can’t seem to come up with enough fake/double/triple/mysteriously-found-in-a car-trunk votes to steal it, just like they always try to??)
LOL! Typical, oh-so-predictable leftist projection…
I don’t understand how Romney takes Nevada and Wisconsin without also taking Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania was closer than the other two in 2008. 321-207.
Sorry 321-217
Kevin,
Can you think of a reason why the left would engage in vote fraud in CA? I think that everyone would agree that there is no hope of CA voting against obama. The only thing that I can think of is Democrats here may sit this one out. But still, that shouldn’t warrant vote fraud, CA is a Dem lock.
Proposition 30 is on the ballot out here and would raise taxes on persons making something over $200K (I think) plus increase the state sales tax. If fraud is involved, unions can’t be too far away.
Very good point. I am so focused on Romney vs obama that I didn’t think about the propositions. Good reason for vote fraud.
Forgot to add why I think there is vote fraud here. A friend and a now former Dem (I hope), has been active in the obama campaign here in No Cal. He told me of his knowledge of vote fraud here. It makes no sense to me at all, maybe just insurance for the left.
I have heard (from a friend who is an ultra-partisan Democrat in SF) that they want the highest possible total of popular votes, in order to send a message, or prove that Obama has a mandate, or whatever.
It really is starting to feel like Berlin in early 1945 around here. The Romney forces are not at the gate yet, and the zealots are still claiming Obama will triumph and trying to keep themselves hyped up, but most people seem bored or resigned or uninterested. Obama 2008 bumper stickers were almost more common than cars, but Obama 2012 stickers are so rare that they catch my eye. I’m not exaggerating when I say there are probably 90-95% fewer. I’m sure there are some, but I don’t think I’ve seen a single window sign. Four years ago they were common.
Kevin, I just wanted to say how much I enjoy reading your coverage of the issues – clear-thinking and reasonable always.
And I love that I have been seeing your name pop up all over
the place – congratulations! Keep up the great work and keep
telling it like it is!
Lartiste,
I literally just finished watching that video and it is the exact same thing I am seeing in Atlanta. The “magical black man” myth i done. He is a leftist, a marxist et al.
It really feels like, and this is apocryphal, that the worm has turned and people in the black community are waking up. They are running from the demonrats plantation and starting to think of themselves as Americans.
Gives me hope for Atlanta. At work I’m generally the only white person most nights. My coworkers are almost all still around the bend for Obama .
“Our President is on!” “Can you believe…. what that Romney,
Gingrich,,,,Ryan ….. said?”
I’ve worked at my current job for two years. Two black coworkers have informed me they don’t like Obama ( in private) during that time. The majority of my coworkers aren’t American born.
The ones that are from Nigeria, Jamaica, The former Belgian Congo, and Haiti are particularly overboard still on Obama. They are wonderful people, but completely and utterly brainwashed. I make jokes with the few Republican whites at work that our coworkers believe anything that they see on TV to the point that their lips move when they’re watching it. I live in Dekalb County.
Anybody from Atlanta have any reports from other counties where the mindset is different? One saving grace: I don’t know how many of my coworkers can legally vote.
As the 61-39 girl I suspect it will be bigger then that! I look forward to hitting DC with great expectations for America and whether you like it or not, I will be boo’ing when Obama is mentioned just as the leftist POS’s did to President Bush in 2008. I will forgive myself immediately for my moment of lost decorum and then party the night away!
You have to be a total screw up loser to not be able to win re-elction with a super majority in the senate for two years and to have absolute total backing of every major media outlet in the country for four years.
Everyone from Hollywood to Comedy Central to every major News organization in TV,radio and print.
Seriously,how bad would he have lost if his Presidency was accurately reported on?
How’s that Nobel Peace Prize workin out for ya Barack?
Not to pick a nit w/ you ebayer, but at least to me, when you mention Comedy Central, you’ve already included, “…Everyone from Hollywood to … every major News organization in TV, radio and print.”
;>)
Captain,
I stand corrected.
I was thinking specifically of the Daily Show,but I typed “Comedy Central”.
Sorry ’bout that.
The Daily Show studio is in Manhattan,so it’s not really Hollywood and it’s not really a “news” show…per se.
Honestly, as long as Romney get 270, I don’t care what margins he wins by, I’m so sick and tired of seeing Barry Soetero and the idiot dems.
Its like the bad neighbors in Kevin’s earlier posts, I want the Soetero idiot evicted by next week so we can start having adults, nice responsible America loving adults in charge to solve real problems this country is facing.
RR 2012!
This election needs to be a disaster for Obama, to show the Democrats they will never win again like this. secondly the more over 270 the more Senate seats taken. The moderate Republicans and the TEA party can’t work together on a budget. Rand Paul and Susan Collins don’t agree on things. So the GOP needs to get 53 senate seats to avoid deadlock.
Reid and the Dems will destroy Romney in the Senate so they can win in the midterms.
good point.
I would say that too, except that if it were close and the number of EV’s in Ohio, WI, or some other place made the difference between winning and losing, you know the left would pull a Franken and steal it from us, “finding” just the right amount of votes needed to flip a state and the election. It needs to be a blowout so we can overcome the margin of fraud.
Also, the bigger the blowout, probably the bigger our margin in the Senate.
also another good point.
How many vacations can Sasquatch fit in before Jan 21?
President Obama will win four states: CA, WA, IL, and HI. When the voters go to the polls, they have to ask themselves: “do I want another four years of this?” How many can honestly answer yes?
Wouldn’t that be loverly! Think you should ad the eastern basket case states: NY, MD, MA and VT.
So, a little off topic, but Kevin, I remember your coverage of the election night headquarters moving from the park in Chicago that provided 280,000 some people easy access to the one being used for this year: the convention center that is harder to access and smaller in venue. See the attachment, which I find hysterical, especially where it states that, “An Obama campaign official declined to comment on the reason why the smaller-capacity convention center was chosen as the venue for this year’s rally over Grant Park.” hahahahaha
Link:
http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2012-10-17/news/sns-rt-us-usa-campaign-electionnightbre89h02k-20121017_1_election-night-election-night-president-obama
I hope I did that correctly; sorry if I didn’t.
But here’s another question: I donated to Romney/Ryan and got to enter myself in a drawing to join them in Boston on election night. I think that’s pretty cool, and I hope I win; if I do, I’ll make sure I do something to show off hillbuzz. But, I’m wondering if the Obama campaign is doing something similar? I haven’t found anything in a quick search, but thought it might be another sign that they know they’re going to lose. Has anyone seen anything?
The latest email from the Obama campaign. (The third one I’ve gotten today!)
“There’s still time to meet Barack and get two of the best seats in the house on Election Night. If you make a donation today, you’ll be automatically entered to join us in Chicago for his big speech.
You’ll be right in the middle of all the action on Election Night, and if Barack wins, you’ll know you played an important part in making that happen and moving our country forward.
We’ll fly you and a guest to Chicago, put you up in a hotel, and make sure you’re right up front when Barack gives his speech.
What he’ll say that night depends entirely on what we do right now.
Agatha, this election is close.
Barack needs you, so please step up and take ownership of this campaign before it’s over. Chip in $5 or whatever you can today:
https://donate.barackobama.com/Election-Night
I know we ask a lot of you. That’s only because this race is so important. Thank you for everything — we’re almost there.
Michelle”
When I went to that site, there was a Google ad just below the second paragraph:
The event will likely draw thousands of supporters to the McCormick Place convention center in Chicago, Obama’s hometown and the site of his re-election campaign headquarters.
Ads by Google
4 Signs of a Heart Attack
Right Before a Heart Attack Your Body Will Give You These 4 Signs
LOL!
I think Michigan is a possibility. Just over the past few days, I’ve been seeing more and more Romney signs. This is in a neighborhood that was heavily obotic last time. Now there’s more of a balance. And if Romney can win Oakland County, he can win Michigan.
Jen – what are your thoughts on the MI constitutional amendment to make collective bargaining a right, do you think it will pass?
Romney is beginning an ad blitz in PA that will go through the election.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/onpolitics/2012/10/29/romney-super-pac-pennsylvania-ads/1665905/
Supposedly, Obama will follow suit and start playing defense with ads in PA as well.
no early voting in that state, so it isn’t a ground game state. So last min ads will work.
The Faith and Freedom Foundation has started running a radio ad that is anti-Obama and Pro-Romney here in the Pittsburgh Market.
So far, I’ve only heard it on the local conservative talk show station but I’ll spin around the radio dial to see if it’s being played on the other local stations.
It’s a good ad and I was so glad to FINALLY hear one that makes me feel that maybe Romney/Ryan have a chance here in Pennsylvania. The Senate Race between Tom Smith/ Senator Casey take up a lot of the TeeVee ads. Hope to see more from the Romney PACs.
All fired up and ready to go!!!
I think Romney will win by a very comfortable margin of electoral votes. The map’s good, but I think he’ll win by more. In fact, I have the feeling (hope? intuition? who knows?) that he’ll end up winning a state that everyone says he has no chance at. Would love it if he won on the scale of, say, 47 states.
I agree. He lost the election when they rammed Obamacare through when people were begging their representatives at town halls to vote against it. They ignored us, and that was when WE THE PEOPLE woke up and began to actively opposed the Democrat congress and Obama. We handed Congress their pink slips in 2010. Now, it’s Obama’s turn to feel our wrath.
In the Pa. 2010 house elections the Repubs beat the Dems by 3% . In the Mich. 2010 house elections the Repubs beat the Dems by 8% . In the N.J. 2010 house elections the Repubs beat the Dems by 1 1/2% . In the Minn. 2010 house elections the Dems beat the Repubs by 1% . Nothing has changed in O’s favor since 2010 . O most likely lost some Jewish , Hispanic and Black vote with his policies and scandals . So I think we take these states .
Unskewed Polls has an updated projection – Romney 359 EVs & Obama 179 EVs. Interesting that it shows Romney taking Oregon and Minnesota in addition to Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconson!!!
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_02.cfm
Actually, that’s an older prediction, from Oct. 25th. The map above is dated Oct. 28th.
Unskewed Polls now has Pennsylvania going pink! 321-217, link is from their site but goes to the Examiner:
http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-likely-win-november-indicated-latest-polls?cid=db_articles
Oh My! I love it!!! This is amazing!Thanks,It pays to be a winner(:
My husband is some weird Eeyore. Sure, today I finally convinced him that Obama is gone, that people REALLY do understand that this is a Leftist agenda from Alinsky, et al. He and I thought for years we were the only ones who saw Saul Alinsky’s handiwork. And it wasn’t from Presidentail elections, and other political arenas. But our Church. The Catholic church mostly notably in America. Which has been usurped by the enemy for many, many decades. It’s been so difficult to deal with the lefties in the Catholic Church, where it would seem that 85% are lefties. Talk about difficult.
Now, having shared that background a bit, my husband feels that Romney will not be anything spectacular, that he’ll ‘sell us out’ in 3 years–Why? He said “You mean we’ve been fighting the Muslims for 1,400 years and suddenly Romney is in office and they’ll now settle down?”
Right, dear. Yes, I know, dear. But we’re talking about a restoration of America. He’ll believe it once action is shown by Romney/Ryan. My Eeyore is calmed quite sufficiently knowing our Congressmen, Paul Ryan is on the ticket. Paul is an honorable man and he (nor Romney) isn’t for sale either.
Thank you God!
Please God let this happen!!!!!
Latest Rasmussen Polls Project Romney To Win 279+ Electoral Votes
http://www.breitbart.com/
I am being VERY optimistic and calling all chips (states) on the table for Romney.
This country went all in for Obama in 2008 and we are far worse off then we were 4 years ago, despite what anyone on the left or Obama says, so I can see the exact opposite happening this time and Romney winning the whole country.
I think people are secretly saying they are going to vote Obama and will either not vote, or vote Romney. It is against the interest of any working person or business owner to vote Obama.
I call landslide for Romney.
Next week, after Romney wins in a landslide, I promise that I will assume the role of Big Brother and will make the following statement:
“It is time to go Barry Soetoro”
Talking about eeyores, Allahpundit is at it again. This is despite the polling news that shows Romney in a winning position. He is being a deliberate wet blanket!!
For months now I have virtually avoided the Allahpundit posts relating to the election because of his eeyore nonsense. As a pundit, Allahpundit is hopeless. He does a little bit better on some other subjects, especially some of the Middle East stuff.
Aussie –
Can you give me the link to the latest one?
Time to call him out personally on this.
That map makes me very very happy.
I live in New Hampshire. My husband and I were out driving through 3 small towns today and we kept count of Romney vs. Obama signs. There were 26 Romney and 1 Obama. I definitely think Romney takes the state. Last election there were Obama signs everywhere!
I hope you and your state are not too hard hit by Sandy…. prayers going out for all those suffering in the aftermath.
As they say, Your lips to God’s ears.
I am really hoping you’re right. Romney wins, and I have to say this is an inauguration I would desperately want to be there for.
Kevin, there is an horrible story on AofSHQ about the gay Wisconsin Repubican who was physically assualted last week.
The Rocketman, John Hinderacker of Powerline, is reporting that Romney is within the margin of error in Minnesota. Democrats are panicking and Bill Clinton is coming to campaign for Obama. Romney’s spending money on campaign ads in Minnesota now and talking about getting either Romney or Ryan there.
In bluest of blue Minnesota! Very nice people, I’ve been there several times. But very liberal. The magic may have worn off and Minnesotans may be recovering from the spell. I am going to go donate to Romney again. He’ll need more money.
I can tell you one of the major reasons why Minnesota is in play:
Iron Range Union Members HATE Obama. They kicked out Oberstar in the 8th district in 2010, and put in Chip Cravaack instead. Now, the Iron Range folk are turning around and supporting Romney, because of the issue regarding mining and iron.
Most of the time, St. Louis County (That’s in the Arrowhead, major city is Duluth) goes heavy Dem because of the union vote. Now, the iron range union folk are moving towards Romney and Cravaack.
If Minnesota goes Romney, thank the iron miners.
Someone was busy today in our rural Arizona town. A crop of “Fire Obama” signs went up along US 60 today. Simple black and white placards, their forceful message sticks out among the brightly colored campaign signs. I like!
That map looks accurate for today, but with a week of Romney momentum, I see Pa and Mi joining the red states.
You could call me a EROYEE, the exact opposite of EEYORE.
I say 65-35 Romney-Obama. I’m even half-way serious…this will be a MONSTER blowout and Romney will have a VERY comfortable Senate lead and super strong House to work with. I really thing that there’s gonna be folks who chant “Four More Years!”, “HOPE AND CHANGE!”, etc. but when they step into that voting booth, they vote for Romney. Later, they feign “outrage” and “sadness”, but be secretly happy that they’ll finally be able to get a decent job.
That’s awesome! I have a great feeling about this election. It pains me to see my state, WA so nauseatingly blue, though. UCK.
Credit where it is due: Watching the special report on CBS covering Sandy hitting the East Coast. They acknowledged Romney donating his campaign buses to distribute emergency supplies, collecting them at his local offices and turning a rally in Ohio Tuesday in a collection point for emergency supply donations. Nice antidote to Lefties claiming Romney wants to either privatize or destroy FEMA. (They can’t decide, but as long as they can’t keep the lies straight it is hard for them to gain traction.) Obama can do all the photo ops looking contemplative in the situation room he wants. The Romney campaign has boots on the ground trying to help people. You tell me what are the better optics.
And while I’m on the storm – Kevin, you may think Hogan Family. I’ve had Travolta’s solo number from Grease stuck in my head for two days
It is so odd to me. How often does a hurricane hit the Northeast? And right before the election? And such a powerful one. And it almost completely missed the red states (not that Ohio and Virginia didn’t feel lit, but it was mostly the blue northern Virginia) and went straight for blue country.
So weird. It makes one wonder.
The democrats are freaking out since it’s hitting the blue states dead-on and they’re terrifying of how that’ll effect things. They can’t stand republicans having any advantage.
Now the media is circulating — testing the waters if you will — of Obama having the election postponed. You know because of the Hurricane.
He better not dare. I swear to God they’re will be one massive protest if he tries that.
Agree completely…. however, let’s not forget that very red WV is being hit with blizzards….. Sandy is not on Romney’s payroll!
Wow, I like the “Fire Obama” signs! They must have had them made. Also like the “I can’t wait to vote” signs!
Go Romney!
I am from New Jersey and I think that there is a possibility that Romney takes it this time
Here is a pipe dream scenario.
There is a very blue state that is hard left but that is very disenchanted is disenchanted with Obama. What if the leftist voters there stay home thinking it doesn’t matter. I know a lot of left wingers who feel betrayed by Obama because he was hard left enough, did not try to prosecute G.W. Bush for war crimes or whatever their pet issue is.
Wouldn’t it be grand if Romney due to demonratic indifference took California because the demonratic turnout was 25% lower than 2008??
I don’t know about the likelihood of that happening but but it is a scenario I could see happening
Congress would have to vote on postponing the election, which absolutely has to happen on the same day throughout the entire country. There is apparently a lot of misinformation out there on this issue, but suffice to say that it has never happened. Ever. No way we’re going to start now. Even seriously suggesting it publicly would be a very bad idea. Speaking for myself, saying that I would be… vehemently opposed… to such an idea would be an understatement.
And yes they’re terrified over what Sandy might do to turnout and voter sentiment. They’re almost certainly going to try blaming an Obama loss on whatever they can think of, including this storm. Maybe he thinks giving the appearance of wanting to save lives in a natural disaster will cancel out failing to actually save lives when given the chance.
Also, long story short, I agree that this will be a decisive victory for Romney, at a minimum 64 EV’s, with the potential of cracking the whole thing wide open and setting up sane D’s and R’s to really marginalize the radical left. For everyone’s sake we need to corral them for a few decades at a minimum, if not permanently. There is about a century’s worth of bad decisions that need to be counteracted. We need to get started, like yesterday.
As far as I’m concerned personally, this guy we have now is way worse than Carter. I really would like to see the pendulum swing right very hard, if only to restore a bit of my faith in the people of this country. I don’t think they’ll disappoint me this time.
Perhaps Obama will sue AFTER Romney wins on the basis
of voters on the east coast not being able to get out and vote.
I wouldn’t put it past him. However, the election is a week away,
enough time for the water to recede and the snow to be plowed.
Minitru here in Colorado paints the picture as a dead heat. As I tell everyone I discuss this with, that just means Romney is actually ahead.
My ground report tells me Romney has Colorado in the bag. My own neighborhood is an exception and I find it pathetic to observe many neighbors displaying their Obama signs in their last act of desperation and foolishness. Thank god for small favors my neighborhood will not have any say in the outcome!!
Anyone I meet out and about with a Romney sign I talk to and and you can just see the neighbors peeking out their windows knowing their boy is going down.
Kevin is correct, once Obamacare was passed, a line was drawn. The sleeping giant has been awakened.
D
I’ll likely regret this but I see it differently and have for about 5 weeks. I give Obama just 11 states at this point: WA, CA, IL, HI, VT, ME, NY, RI, CT, DE, DC. Well, actually 10 plus DC. And have it 384-154. (Will be looking for some high paying prognosticator job if I am right!)
I don’t care what the margin is, just so Romney wins!
But, I do pray it is huge for him!
He is a good man and I trust him.
I’m so happy I saw right through Obama as a phony
in 2008 and didn’t vote for him! The same this time!
A November surprise, the sleeper, could be Obamuh losing IL. He’s not really embraced as a native son–he just used Chicago for his political ambitions but couldn’t care less about it or IL otherwise. His deadbeat 2008 campaign still owes the city of Springfield about $60,000 for the campaign event he held there to announce Joeke Biden as his running mate. I think fewer and fewer people in the Crook County suburbs care for him and I read the Breitbart article about waning support from inner city blacks.
Now for the stats: in the 2010 mid-terms the same 99 of IL’s 102 counties voted RED in the two main races. Two of the three that voted blue are in southern IL near St. Louis and you can guess the name of the third one that went blue. In the case of the governor’s race, Crook County had enough to put Quinnocchio over the top, but not enough to give Obamuh’s former US Senate seat to his pal Alexi Giannoulias over Mark Kirk. For 6 elections in a row from 1968 to 1988 IL voted Republican in the presidential races and in 5 out of those 6 didn’t need Crook County for the victory. Also, 4 of IL’s 5 governors from 1973 to 2003 were also Republican–so the potential exists in the state even if it’s voted Dem in the last 5 presidential elections.
Currently this state teeters on the brink of financial annihilation and employers are fleeing the state due to oppressive tax rates and most voters here know it’s the Dems who are primarily responsible. I think it depends on turnout and if turnout is down with inner city blacks who won’t go to bat for a president who abandoned them then it’s highly possible that the rest of the motivated state will turn out for Romney and while I can’t see Crook County voting otherwise, I’d love to see 101 of 102 counties vote red.
Fresh on Breitbart:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/30/Gallup-Shows-22-point-drop-in-obama-early-voting-advantage
Very important, since the media will soon be harping on this:
http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Journalism/2012/10/30/Sandy-Stole-The-Election-Left-Media-Prepare-to-Delegitimize-Romney-Victory
There is no constitutional precedent to delay the election, especially since we still have the electoral college….. and really, with open no-excuse-needed absentee voting and early voting, no case can really be made that people didn’t have opportunity. Bottom line is, people in other countries sometimes have to fear for their lives when they go to their polls, yet they still go …. if some precincts have to use paper ballots instead of electronic ones, maybe God knows there is a reason. I have been praying that any plans for voter fraud would be confounded and defeated. At the very least, Romney can’t be blamed for the hurricane and for any problems with the disaster response!!
Well, actually they ARE trying to blame him: http://www.toberight.com/2012/10/president-obama-blames-hurricane-on-romney/
I think the Colorado Model done by two profs. this month is the most accurate poll as they did state-by-state based on the economy who would vote for POTUS. They predicted Romney gets 320 electoral college votes.
I believe many blue states turn in the end and many people are silently voting for Romney/Ryan for various reasons.
Reagan had same effect and it was the last two weeks which the nation turned and flipped over to the GOP to give him a landslide victory over Carter.
Silently Voting for Romney is the key and believe me this is going to happen. This is why you don’t see campaign signs up for BO in the blue states. There is a reason for it and the previous supporters are not pledging their allegiance to him with overt signs of Obamaism.
There is a big switch going down and it is very clandestine. Again, Silently Voting for Romney … I heard students from Dartmouth college, NH state this as a fact on their campus and I believe that to be true in blue states.
Hailing from Canada it astonishes me how so many of your American electorate cannot see through the Chicago thuggery ruling your magnificent country. That trashy lying mob are so incredibly transparent it can only be put down to a severe infection of partisanship at the peril of the country at large. Get rid of him and his machine as fast as possible he is poison, and the horror of it is that he knows it ….