25 Days Until the Election: What forces are in play?
[Click above to embiggen: On November 8th, one larger-than-life political titan will go down in flames. Either the Establishment or the Deplorables will win and nothing will ever be the same.]
We’re down to 25 days left until the most bizarre election in our lifetimes. Either the Hilldenburg or the Trumptanic will be annihilated on November 8th. The Establishment is pushing hard for the Clinton Restoration…while the American people are in open rebellion against the globalist elite.
Today I think it’s worthwhile to spend some time as friends talking about what forces are currently in play. That’s the first step towards wrapping our heads around what could happen 25 days from now. Let’s start with some assumptions and decide if they are safe to make.
(1.) ASSUMPTION: Did John McCain and Mitt Romney lose because millions of people sat home (since they were too disgusted to vote for either of those Cocktail Partiers)? This is something that no one in the chattering classes ever talks about and you’ll never read about it in any of the books that the Establishment puts out that re-write election history. But for those of you out there who paid attention in 2008 and 2012, do you remember people being so unenthused with McCain and Romney that they just sat home to teach the GOP a lesson? These same people — the ones who sat it out in 2008 and 2012 — seemed to get up off the couch and vote for the Tea Party rebellion in 2010 and 2014. Remember how the Establishment claimed that Democrats would win big in those mid-term elections…and then how shocked the State Media was when historic losses were suffered by the Establishment? Recall how Eric Cantor was eviscerated and humiliated in 2014, despite that toad being one of the Establishment’s favorite pets? There’s something happening that no one has been smart enough to really identify…and it’s all about people who hate the Wonder-Bread-and-Mayonnaise sandwiches that the Establishment tried to force down people’s throats in the last two presidential races. A great many people seemed to say, “F*** that! This’ll teach them!” Only, the Establishment never learns…and so those idiots tried to force Jeb Bush and then Little Marco Rubio on us in the primaries. People openly rebelled and demanded a pendulum swing as far away from McCain/Romney as possible…and that launched Trump.
QUESTION: Are all of the people who didn’t bother to vote in 2008 and 2012 going to show up this time, since Trump is the polar opposite of a Cocktail Party elitist? If we can agree that the assumption above is correct — and that those wins by the GOP in 2010 and 2014 are because the people who stayed home in 2008 and 2012 actually got up off the couch and went to vote in the mid-terms — then the question is whether those people will come out to vote for Trump this time. Logically, I can’t imagine any other candidate who could ever take on the Establishment the way that Trump is doing. If you hate the Establishment and John McCain and Mitt Romney made you sick, then I can’t imagine that you would be anything but excited to vote for Trump and watch the Establishment burn to the ground.
Personally, I think that Trump is gaudy and a little strange. Looking at other presidents we’ve had, I think we’ve had some oddballs occupying the Oval Office. I believe that Jimmy Carter is one of the strangest and most unappealing people to have ever lived. Trump’s hair and orange tan are off-putting and his decorating style is gaudy, let’s be real about that…but, man, just look at Jimmy Carter from that 1976 campaign. That was a special kind of hideous. And America decided to send Arkansas to the White House in 1992, with everything that came with that. So it’s not like we are a nation that holds gaudiness and/or weird looks against people. Trump also benefits because here the alternative to him is another four years of the Clintons…and they’ve proven that they haven’t changed much since 1992 (and just got older and both look like they are physically falling apart at this point).
These optics matter because I think there’s a weird balance that’s struck when the public considers how equally unappetizing Trump’s gaudiness and the Clintons’ sleaziness are when taken together. It all cancels out in a zero sum sort of way. To me that takes us back to who will sit out the election and who will be fired up to come out and vote. And I return to my premise that people will be fired up to come vote AGAINST the Establishment.
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(2.) ASSUMPTION: Few people are super-excited about electing the first female president and doing so is not a motivator. Hillary’s campaign in 2008 made a conscious decision not to emphasize the “historic first female” part of her candidacy. I’m not sure why. Maybe because Obama was already doing the “historic first black” thing and Hillary thought she had a better chance if she ran as “just one of the guys” and downplayed the fact that she was a woman. She wanted to be seen as strong and as equal to the men. Maybe that worked and perhaps it’s why she actually beat Obama in the primaries with 18 million+ votes (and should have been the nominee if the superdelegates had not abandoned her). This time around, that catty and conceited campaign manager of hers, Robby Mook, decided to get very Alinksy and run a super-negative campaign…not an aspirational one where she focused on being the first female president. Sure, you’d hear people try to gin up attacks on anyone not supporting her as being misogynistic…and Mook is rolling out these October surprises to malign Trump as being anti-woman. But no one has ever made a classy, lofty, idealistic argument that it’s time our country had a female president and that woman should be Hillary Clinton.
If I had been on her campaign team, that’s the sort of campaign I would have ran for her. I would have gone back to the marketing done for Geena Davis’ old show Commander-in-Chief, which had great promotional billboards saying “A Woman Will Be President.” That’s actually the slogan I would have used for Hillary-2016: A WOMAN WILL BE PRESIDENT. None of this “Stronger Together” crap or that weird hospital sign she uses, with the H-with-an-arrow-through-it (that looks just like the road signs directing you to a hospital on the interstate). At this point, no one should ever feel bad for Hillary Clinton about anything because of the weird things she’s done in recent years to violate the public’s trust…but even those of us who poured our hearts and souls into her 2008 campaign should not feel bad about her losing this current election since Hillary Clinton clearly makes terrible decisions when it comes to her staff.
She was raging the other day about why she is not 50 points ahead of Trump and all I can say is that she picked the worst possible person to run her campaign, because Robby Mook is an idiot with pudding for brains. If they had hammered A WOMAN WILL BE PRESIDENT over and over again, I think they would have been so much more effective than doing this scorched earth thing where they just focus on relentlessly convincing people to hate Trump. This is clearly a “Change Election” and drilling in A WOMAN WILL BE PRESIDENT is one way they could have made Hillary Clinton be the change candidate. When the first female president is elected in the future, it will be a woman who is smart enough to use A WOMAN WILL BE PRESIDENT as her campaign slogan.
QUESTION: If people are not excited to vote for Hillary to make history because she totally bungled that part, can pudding-for-brains Robby Mook rile people up enough with hatred for Trump to head out to vote against him? I don’t think hatred is ever a motivator for people to actually do something constructive or time-consuming. The Left uses hatred to rev black people up with that Black Lives Matter garbage, but all that does is get people to riot and burn down their own neighborhoods. So, hatred as a motivator can encourage people to commit violence. But, can hatred make them go out into the cold and stand in line for 30 minutes to an hour and then go through the trouble of voting? I was very motivated on September 29th when I early-voted here in Chicago because I was so angry about what FBI Director James Comey did in fixing the investigation so that Hillary would not be charged with anything. I was truly angry at that man, but I don’t hate him. But my anger at him eclipsed any bad feelings I would have had if I didn’t vote for Hillary, out of old loyalty to her from 2008. I woke up early, got dressed, rode the Red Line downtown, went down to the Board of Elections early voting room in the basement of the county building, and stood in line to vote as soon as the office opened. Then I had to take the little electronic card, figure out how to put it into the machine, read a bunch of stuff, figure out how to cast my ballot…and then I spent about 20 minutes jumping through all the other hoops and doing all the checks they make you do to ensure that the machine recorded my vote the way that I wanted.
I don’t know how someone who is motivated by just hatred for Trump is expected to do all of this. If your motivation is hatred, you are acting on a primal/animalistic level like a cave person. You can set fires and smash things and bite and claw and scratch, but can you really use hatred as fuel to go through all the mess you need to go through to cast a ballot? And let me tell you, doing all this on September 29th was so much easier than doing it on November 8th when it will be an absolute madhouse everywhere. I believe that most people still vote on the actual election day. I avoided so much grief by doing all this early…but there was still grief. I had to be patient, fill out a form on a clipboard, deal with government workers, utilize outdated/backwards machinery, etc. I just don’t see how making people hate Trump is supposed to encourage people to come out and vote for Hillary.
Unless they are just trying to suppress Trump support and keep his voters at home by turning them against him. Maybe Mook knows he can’t convince people to vote FOR Hillary (or even AGAINST Trump) but he thinks that by scorching the earth he can just make people sit at home.
But, again, we’re back to Assumption #1 from above about who these people are that play weird games and stay home during presidential elections. If they stayed home to teach the GOP a lesson in 2008 and 2012, who would they be staying home to teach a lesson in 2016 if they fall for what Mook is doing? So, am I to believe that people who couldn’t stomach voting for either McCain or Romney because they were too Establishment are going to miss the chance to vote for the most anti-Establishment candidate we’ve ever had run for high office all because Hillary’s campaign found a tape of Trump talking about how much he likes having heterosexual sex with hot ladies?
(3.) ASSUMPTION: The Republican Elite want Trump to lose so that the Cocktail Partiers can stay in power, so they are rooting for Hillary to win since she will keep them in power (as they are all part of the same Establishment). I feel that this is the most safe of all the assumptions to make. There are so many critters in Republican ranks who would make an absolute fortune if Hillary Clinton becomes president…but whose livelihoods would be destroyed by a President Trump. And I’m not just talking about elected officials or political consultants.
One individual who deserves special attention is Ben Shapiro. This guy has been so blatant about his wanting Hillary Clinton to win because Shapiro will make a lot of money in the next four years writing books and going on speaking tours railing against Hillary. He’s probably got drafts of his next books already written. He knows where and how his bread is buttered and he is eager to nibble on that sweet, delicious, buttery bread. I think a lot of supposedly conservative writers want a Hillary Clinton presidency because this is something they have been masturbating at the thought of for many years at this point. It’s like in a horror movie when Jason or Freddy or Michael Meyers finally shows up, after getting false-shocks or mere glimpses of the fiend here and there for what felt like forever. Well, if these guys have done so well for themselves for this long with Hillary just threatening to become president, they are going to rub themselves raw with her actually fulfilling her supposed destiny (as a harbinger of the apocalypse) and finally achieving her lifelong goal. The books will just write themselves.
There will be endless Clintonian scandals as crazy as Filegate, Travelgate, etc. Not only will all the misdeeds of FBI Director James Comey come to light and everything else involved with those email servers be obsessed about for years, but with Bill Clinton running around like a loose cannon there’s bound to be all sorts of illegal things that he would do as First Gentleman, since he would continue to act like he is the president. If Hillary made so much trouble for herself and the country as the first First Lady to try to operate out of the West Wing, don’t you think that people like Ben Shapiro know that Bill Clinton moving back into the White House guarantees all sorts of malfeasance that will make book-writing easy-peasy for four years? I think all of these people believe that they will finally be able to impeach and remove a Clinton from office by having Hillary move into the Oval…and they just see her presidency as being a chance for nonstop fun and profit.
There is so much sickness involved with the Clintons, on all sides, that having Hillary move back into the White House is just a guarantee for endless scandal, investigations, and Shakesperean high-drama. So many conservative media outlets were formed during the first Clinton administration. Since no one was allowed to really criticize Obama because of his skin color, during the last 8 years a lot of people haven’t been doing as well as they would have liked because they were scared of being called a racist if they had gone after Obama the way that the Left went after Bush or the Right went after the Clintons in the 1990s. Having Hillary back in the White House would mean that the Good Old Days could return again and everyone could get rich with new books, magazine subscriptions, movies, podcasts, and whatever other lucrative things they could come up with to profit from the treasure trove of scandals to come.
They all remind me of impoverished witch doctors in some Third World country who had been struggling without any “patients”…but then in stumbles Typhoid Mary, bringing of all manner of plagues, and they all know they will be eating well and making good bread for years to come once she takes up residence in town and everything unfolds as usual around her.
QUESTION (And this is the big one): Is the number of Republican Elite who want Hillary to win (to serve their own financial interests) larger than the number of Bernie Sanders cultists who will sit the election out? Additionally, is it larger than the number of blacks who will not care about the election because there is not someone the color of hot cocoa, Hershey’s bars, or a caramel frappachino on the ballot? What about the decent and honest blacks who realize voting Democrat gets their community nowhere and so they are going to roll the dice with Trump and vote Republican for the first time ever? There are an interesting collection of variables in play that I don’t think we’ve ever seen before in a presidential election. Let’s take a moment and have a look at them:
(A.) Republican Elite voting for Hillary = how many?
(B.) Bernie Sanders cultists staying home = how many?
(C.) People who are genuinely so offended by Trump saying mean things about Rosie O’Donnell and/or talking about wanting to have sex with hot babes that they and their delicate sensibilities stay home = On this, I estimate it will be like 15 people total out of the entire country.
(D.) People who have always hated Hillary but are going to vote for her anyway because of Robby Mook’s scorched earth tactics against Trump = Again, I think maybe 11 people total out of the whole country.
(E.) People who detested McCain and Romney and sat their butts home in 2008 and 2012 but who will come out in 2016 just to punch the Establishment in the face = I think this will be millions of angry, deplorable people.
(F.) Black people voting for Trump because they think he is funny and/or they believe that they really do have nothing to lose so why the hell not = how many?
(G.) Gay people who do not want to allow Hillary Clinton to bring in more Muslims so that Muslims can kill more gays and abuse more women in America = how many?
(H.) ?
(I.) ?
(J.) ?
I think we could spend all day thinking of other groups that are variables this time around that would never have ben in play in previous years. Back in 2012, I don’t remember Muslim immigration and the killing of gays being an issue. That’s new since all the recent attacks, especially the massacre in the Orlando gay bar. No black people were ever going to vote for Romney or McCain, not with someone with their own skin color on the Democrats’ ballot. So when Hillary decided to run with Kaine instead of someone like Corey Booker, she sealed her doom with a lot of blacks who only get excited to vote when they can vote for someone from their own tribe.
The pouting #NeverTrump buffoons in the Cocktail Party ranks to me are an insignificant number. There might be a few thousand of them…but they are dwarfed by all the Millennial Bernie Sanders cultists who absolutely despise Hillary Clinton. I know a few of these people, who have never really been very political because they are artists and actors and singers and underwater basket weavers who hang out in coffee shops by me…but these people are all very angry at Hillary. They are not motivated to go through all the trouble of voting for her, though I doubt many of them would be angry enough to vote for Trump in protest. Democrats don’t do things like that to “teach the party a lesson.” That would be a cardinal sin for a Democrat, ever voting for a Republican for any reason. They will, however, sit home and say “F*** You!” and “That’s what you get for rigging the primaries!”
Now, Republicans are nasty enough to vote for Hillary just to keep Trump from becoming president…but, again, we’re back to the issue that Hillary has where so many Republicans have hated this woman for 30 years or more and they will never vote for her under any circumstances. Only the ones like Ben Shapiro whose careers depend on Trump losing will actually vote for Hillary to keep Trump from winning. I think there’s more of a chance of the Cocktail Party crowd just staying home than being crossover votes for Clinton.
(4.) ASSUMPTION: People understand that this is our last chance to bring down the Establishment Globalists if we want to prevent them from destroying America. The jury is really out on this. I personally don’t think that Trump has done a good enough job of drilling this into people. Has he made enough of an effort to convince people that this is indeed a change election and a chance for the American people to take back their country from the globalists who want to subvert and transform America and erase our sovereignty? If he has convincingly made this case — and if there are enough people who still love America left — then Trump will win overwhelmingly and the Establishment (especially the State Media) will go into absolute meltdown.
QUESTION: Do you think people understand what is at stake? Do you think they understand that a vote for Trump is a vote against the Establishment of both parties…and that elected Trump means eradicating the globalists? I personally believe that voting for Trump is like punching both Paul Ryan and George Soros in the face. Voting for Trump is like kicking both Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer right in the pants. Voting for Trump is like burning both Congress and the UN to the ground.
If Donald Trump would win this election, it would be the greatest F*** YOU! to the ruling elite who view themselves as our “Betters” since the Declaration of Independence.
Remember how great it felt that day that Eric Cantor lost his primary race and that whiny loser stood there in front of the cameras, dumbfounded, looking like he was pissing his pants live and in full color? His face drained of all blood and you could tell his brain was having trouble communicating with the rest of his body. His mouth and brain were separated by what seemed like hours and he would just stand there blinking, not able to process what was happening to him. I remember watching that clip of him over and over again, the first time he appeared after he conceded. I think it was one of the greatest moments in American history in the last few years.
Were you someone who was as happy about that as I was? If so, how many other people like us do you think are out there? How many other fellow Americans relish seeing the Establishment toppled and humiliated the way that Eric Cantor was completely emasculated and infantilized that wonderful, wonderful day of his primary defeat?
How many fellow Deplorables out there despise the elite Establishment so much that they would give absolutely anything to see Paul Ryan and every traitorous Cocktail Partier absolutely humiliated and metaphorically castrated on November 8th?
Hell, how many people do you know who would love to see Rosie O’Donnell, Joy Behar, and every sanctimonious celebrity in Hollywood lose their damn minds and collapse into heaps of quivering Jell-O as Donald Trump would be declared the 45th President of the United States?
That’s what I think is the most interesting question of all in this: just how many people would view a Trump win as both a catharsis and a punishment to the elite that have abused all us Deplorables for so long?
I don’t think there’s a way to poll for that. We’ve never encountered anything like this before. I just find it very hard to believe that the number of Deplorables who want to watch the Establishment and the Elite suffer a stunning rebuke is anything but the vast majority of the country. And who else would those people vote for but Trump? Why on earth would they sit home on election day when we will never have another chance like this to burn the Establishment to the very ground?
What think you?
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