NOTE: The below comes from one of the smartest two blogs out there for insight on polls (the other being Wizbang). Things have been unraveling for Obama since early voting began — just like in the primaries, Obama’s alleged advantage amongst his “youth army”, blacks, and yuppies is not turning up in the early vote “tidal wave” he was supposed to have. Obama spent TENS OF MILLIONS of dollars trying to drive early votes to him, but it’s not happening.  Practically every Democrat we know has early voted — and all of them have voted for John McCain and Sarah Palin. One of our friends today did just that, a hip gay guy in Chicago who adores Hillary Clinton and never thought he’d vote Republican, but he just couldn’t vote for Obama — not after what Obama’s followers personally did to all of us on Team Hillary throughout the primaries. For examples of how nasty these people are, just look at the comments they still leave on this site. In a week, when Obama loses, all of you Obama followers who were so nasty to Hillary Clinton and her supporters have only yourselves to blame. Your nastiness and hatred towards us drove millions of votes to John McCain. 

This analysis indicates Democrats voting early in Florida are voting for John McCain in huge numbers — we think this is a reaction not only to the treatment received from Obama followers, but also Obama’s refusal to count Florida’s primary votes during the contested nomination process (remember, in the end, after the party crowned him as the new standard bearer, Obama ultimately relented and allowed all Florida votes to be counted…when it would do Clinton no good. And don’t think Floridians don’t remember how Obama treated them).

Looks like payback for Obama’s treatment of Florida and his followers’ treatment of Clinton supporters is going to be a disaster for the Democrats next week:

Huge Democrat Turn Out In Florida Turns Into Huge McCain-Palin Gains

Published by AJStrata at 12:00 am under 2008 Elections, All General Discussions

If early voting in Florida is any indication what will happen across this country come next Tuesday (and there is little reason to assume it will be some crazy outlier well outside the norm) then Obama and the Dems are going to be getting a lesson from the American voters. They are the lead incumbent party in a country where 90% think the country is off track. And how America feels about them and Obama is showing in some early polling of early voters:

Democrats are beaming that their party is outperforming the Republicans in early voting, releasing numbers Wednesday that show registrants of their party ahead 54 percent to 30 percent among the 1.4 million voters who have gone to the polls early. 

“We’re thrilled at the record turnout so far,” said Democratic Party of Florida spokesman Eric Jotkoff. “It’s a clear indication that Democrats want to elect Barack Obama and Democrats up and down the ballot so that we can start creating good jobs, rebuilding our economy and getting our nation back on track.”

But party breakdowns for turnout aren’t the same as final tallies, and at least one poll offered a different view for the campaign of Republican John McCain. 

A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll gave McCain a 49-45 lead over Democrat Barack Obama among Floridians who have already voted. 

And Republicans continued to show a traditional strength, leading 50 percent to the Democrats’ 30 percent in the 1.2 million absentee ballots already returned.

Democrats have an almost 2 to 1 advantage in numbers, yet McCain leads in the vote totals. RCP has Obama up 3.5% in Florida – totally opposite this massive wave of early voting.  According to a GMU site monitoring early polling Florida is already seeing almost 34% of the total 2004 vote for Florida – stunning. And the advantage for Dems on this site is 45.4% to 39% (including absentee). So with a really high 6.4% advantage in turnout Obama is losing by 4%. That is some massive defection numbers away from Obama. And it would seem a large turnout is not a bad thing at all for McCain-Palin, since it will swamp the Obama strengths in certain demographics.

If this is an indication of things to come, the liberals are in for a rough week. H/T Reader Archtop and Wizbang