RUSH: Kimberly in Dayton, Ohio. Nice you have to back. I remember you, I think. Last time you called you were a little put out with me, were you not?
CALLER: Oh, yeah, I was a little put out. I called you in 2006 because I had been trying to get in touch with you and tell you that I was on the ground and things were not looking good and I needed you to know that. And I was pretty frustrated. But I want to tell you now that you’re right. I’m still on the ground, and I see what’s going on, I’m talking to these people, I’m one of the hundreds of nameless faces that you talked about in 2004, we’re the people on the ground working and I can tell you if it weren’t for Sarah Palin we won’t even be doing that, so McCain gets kudos for that one, but I go to the office –
RUSH: Wait just a second here, Kimberly. You gotta refresh people’s memory –
CALLER: Okay.
RUSH: — who may not have heard your call 2006. You called in the last election, the midterms in ’06 and you told me I was wrong about what?
CALLER: I told you that you were wrong, that it was not going to go well, that people are going to the polls and their specific purpose to go to the polls was to vote one party out and the reason why was to teach that party a lesson. Republicans were going to the polls voting Democrat to teach the Republican Party a lesson. It was happening, and on voter Election Day, I cannot tell you, we go to the polls every year and we pass out these voter (dropout) and they’re nonpartisan voter guides and we pass them ought because in places where, you know, Democrats are strong, they’ll look at these voter guides, they’ll take them from us because they don’t have Republican on them, didn’t have Bush on them or something like that, and they would take them from us and they would leave voting a candidate that –
RUSH: Wait a minute. Hold it a minute. I’m still a little confused. What was I saying in ’06 that you thought I was wrong about?
CALLER: You were saying that you didn’t think that people were going to go to the election and just vote a party out. You didn’t think they were going to teach them a lesson, you didn’t think –
RUSH: Okay.
CALLER: — people were really going to do that.
RUSH: Okay. So you think I was wrong then, but I’m right about what now?
CALLER: You’re right now that this election is not by any means in the bag, and I don’t know where they’re getting these polls from and who they’re talking to, but I can tell you that I see an energy on the ground like I have never seen, and I said that in 2004. This is beyond comprehension. They have a victory center that they opened in Huber Heights, Ohio, which is just north of Dayton, and it’s run almost completely by homeschoolers. People go there and volunteer all day long, and people have been driving up there from Kentucky to get signs, McCain-Palin signs because they can’t find them, they have a waiting list that’s constantly 20, 30 people long. As soon as they get the signs in, they’re gone. People are buying signs. The other day I went in to pick up some signs they were supposed to hold for me and have given them away, and there was a guy who came in, his wife had designed a sign, it said, “I like her,” with big red lipstick, he was selling them for five dollars. And he came into the office, and the guy said, “Well, I’ll buy ten of them and see how they go.” And I said, “I’ll buy four right now”. And he looks back at the guy, and he says, “You know what? We may need more.”
October 18, 2008 at 8:02 pm
This is so refreshing to read. I must say that driving from the east coast of Florida over to the west coast..along the way and on the west coast many McCain/Palin signs. Gave me hope!!!
October 18, 2008 at 8:06 pm
I heard that call.
Could feel the excitement in her voice, as she rolled out the scenarios to Rush……and did so bravely too…..in a kind of daring and confident way.
Sure she won some new volunteers after that
heartfelt “testiminy”.
October 18, 2008 at 8:29 pm
The poll numbers are worthless for a number of reasons.
First of all, the poll numbers are a product. The customer (the MSM) is always right, and if a polling company wants to sell it’s polls to a media outlet, and the polls don’t show Obama ahead, no sale. You see, no one in the news room knows anyone voting for McCain, so if you show him ahead, the customer thinks your product is inferior.
Secondly, Democrats are always over sampled. Nationally Democrats outnumber Republicans by 8 or 9%. Samples usually favor Democrats by at least 14%. Republicans turn out for elections in higher numbers then Democrats, so they should actually over sample Republicans. But they don’t.
And lastly, some polling firms are adding to the Obama number this year because the kids dig Obama, and they carry cell phones, and pollers do not call cell phones. This logic stinks. I’m 40 years old and I only have a land line so I don’t have to give my cell number out. Everyone I want to talk to has my cell number. If the land line rings, I look at the caller ID. If I don’t recognize the number, I don’t answer. I think this type of arrangement is fairly common anymore. Only people with credit so crapy they can’t get a cell phone rely on a land line (IMHO).
Oh wait – I forgot one more thing. This year they have studied the polling and found that whites are far more likely to say they are voting for Obama if the caller is black. They can’t really pin down what effect this is having on the overall numbers, but the effect is there.
That’s just some of the fun with polling numbers. Remember folks, you rooting for a Republican this time around and, like the midia bias, there is a polling bias as well.
When McCain says he is right where he wants to be – trust him. Ask yourself why Obama is still running ads in typically blue states that show him up by 15%? His team knows what really going on and they are nervous.
It ain’t over yet. Hang on – this is when it gets fun.
October 18, 2008 at 8:33 pm
This is great but… we need Virginia back in our column or all is lost. What do you hear about Virginia?
October 18, 2008 at 9:03 pm
I’m curious about Virginia as well. It’s hard to believe that Obama is up by 7 or 8% in this state.
October 21, 2008 at 5:58 pm
Read this on hotair:
McCain’s in Bucks County, where I live, today and Cindy was here yesterday with Rudy Giuliani. Today’s local paper has a huge headline and photo of Cindy at a rally yesterday, saying “Cindy Wows Crowd of 1000″. That’s looking out from all the newspaper boxes in this area today. Great, free advertising. There will be more tomorrow from McCain’s news-making new speech today.
I have 20 houses in my development, and 10 of them have McCain signs in front of them. There were only 2 Bush-Cheney signs in 2004. McCain is really popular here; Republicans are not as conservative socially but very conservative on fiscal and foreign policy. I can’t tell you how many people I meet who tell me they never liked Bush, and some did not even vote for him, because – of all things – his stance on stem cell research! But they are voting for McCain.
Obama lost Bucks County badly in the primary. There are a lot of PUMAs here too.
I stopped by HQ for a bumper sticker and was told they have volunteers and phone bankers aplenty. I just got contacted by the campaign for the GOTV effort, which will be huge here. If McCain can win Bucks County, he definitely has a shot at the state.
rockmom on October 21, 2008 at 4:39 PM
October 21, 2008 at 8:29 pm
Another reason for encouragement:
McCain Outperforming Bush in Ohio Bellwethers? (Jim Geraghty’s Campaign Spot)
The Campaign Spot ^ | 10/21/08 | Jim Geraghty
Posted on Tue Oct 21 09:10:06 2008 by TonyInOhio
McCain Outperforming Bush in Ohio Bellwethers?
I continue to hear from my source on the ground in Ohio, who is seeing results for McCain that are surprisingly good. He puts it, “in a key bellweather section of Ohio, McCain continues to show internals that are exceeding the national pollsters’ results. This portends a potentially larger McCain victory in Ohio than Bush had in 2004.”
As for those national pollsters, note that Fox News/Rasmussen puts McCain up 2, NBC/Mason-Dixon puts McCain up 1 and Rasmussen had it a tie last week. My guy on the ground thinks this might mean that the internal polling is a leading indicator, and he’s noting that if McCain does as well among the key demographics in neighboring Pennsylvania as he is in Ohio, then the Democrats ought to be sweating about that state.
That’s far from a given, of course; Pennsylvania is a bluer state than Ohio. I don’t know that McCain will win Pennsylvania, but it isn’t like he hasn’t been given enough material – “spread the wealth around”, “no coal plants”, Murtha alternately calling his constituents “racists” and “rednecks,” the bitter small-town clinger comment, etc.
I can hear it now – “Jim, Jim, what about the Suffolk Poll showing McCain losing Ohio by 9?” Well, if the Ohio electorate on Nov. 4 really does turn out to be 54 percent women and 46 percent men, and 45 percent Democrat and 31 percent Republican, then that may very well be the result. But I would be curious about which debilitating virus is attacking those with Y chromosomes in that state. (Having said that, the 2004 exit poll put the gender split at 53-47 in favor of women.)