We’re making this a permanent post on this blog, and keeping it here through the election because as much as we like to repeat ourselves to repeat ourselves to repeat ourselves, we don’t have the energy to deal with Eeyores while we’re working hard for McCain/Palin. Eeyores are all of you who listen to the media, without thinking, and run around saying “We’re doomed! Nothing can stop Obama! His youth army and voter fraud are too much to beat!” – and then you come here, or to other blogs, and leave comments like, “I’m worried about…”, or “I’m afraid…”, or “MSNBC said…”. Listen, this is a little tough love for all of you — start thinking critically, and stop spreading your rain clouds to others. The media’s been in the tank for Obama since 2004 — this is their dream candidate, and they groomed him into a Messiah. If you think the media’s ever going to tell any truth that’s inconvenient for their chosen One, then you’re just stupid.

Look at the party ID samples in every poll that “worries” you and see what the party ID breakdown is: the national breakdown should be 39% Dem, 35% Republican, and 26% Independent. The polls that “worry” Eeyores have Democrats at 45% or above in terms of party ID breakdown — with Republicans as low as 20%.  In the last 20 years, Democrats have only had a 4% party ID advantage over Republicans. Why on Earth would that historic fact change in 2008 — and swing to a 25% or more Democrat advantage? That’s ridiculous. And everything Eeyores run around with, crazed over, is equally ridiculous if they’d just take the time to critically think through it.

Yes – the media is promoting Obama, to the point where media figures like Chris Matthews actually campaign for Obama in states like Pennsylvania (which he did, in person, the weekend of October 12-13). No – there is nothing any of us can do about this, except to contact Jeff Zucker at NBC or the sponsors advertised on MSNBC and tell them what we think of their sustained pro-Obama agenda. You just have to stop listening to the media — if you are someone who gets upset when watching MSNBC or CNN, then stop watching those channels. Read www.HillaryClintonForum.net on a regular basis: there are 5,500 users there who log on constantly, 24/7, to post the most important news and breakdown the bias and lies. News aggregate sites like this slice through all the O-baloney, and filter out the propaganda. If you continue to insist on upsetting yourself by watching Kool-Aid networks like MSNBC, don’t spread that gloom and doom to others. And don’t come here to vent your negativity – because we have no sympathy for you.

There are just days left in this election — we’re all spread thin in terms of efforts, with a lot to do and very little time to do it all in. None of have any time to hold your hands or talk you off any more ledges.  With some of you, we have been doing this since January, and we just can’t do it any more. During the primaries, you were the people who listened to the media and convinced yourselves Hillary Clinton would lose New Hampshire — and you cried and cried and were so “worried” you made sure to call all of your friends and email everyone you know saying “It’s over! We’re doomed! It’s impossible for Obama to lose!”. Well, idiots, he did lose — and if you had looked at the polls critically, you would see that New Hampshire was the first instance of the media rigging polls for Obama, and oversampling “the youth” by wide margins that produced Obama wins in polls that didn’t translate to tha actual election day demographic.

Next up was Super Tuesday, and all of you Eeyores once again listened to the media and ran around shouting about the sky falling — claiming Hillary Clinton would lose California, Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey. Eeyores we know in Chicago spent the week leading up to Super Tuesday trying to convince us to cancel our big results party, saying, “There won’t be a party. She’s going to lose. We’re all doomed!”. Well, idiots, Clinton won every state she was supposed to win (except Missouri), and all of your predictions of doom in California where the “youth army” was supposed to win the day for Obama were a bunch of junk — just like we told you.

But, you wasted our time, and you depress everyone around you for no reason.  That’s what Eeyores do — you bring people down into your fatalist little worlds, but then never remember the damage you’ve done.  Because, when Clinton won, you’d celebrate with everyone else…and then the next day you’d go back to parroting the media’s line about Clinton losing the next round of primaries.

You did this before Ohio and Texas.

You did this before Pennsylvania.

You did this before West Virginia.

And Kentucky.

And Indiana.

And South Dakota.

And you never learned your lesson.

You never put two and two together and figured out that the media manipulated you every time — they brought the gloom and doom out in you, and you then went out and spread your rain clouds to everyone you know, depressing them, and probably getting more than a few of them to go out and spread gloom and doom to others they knew.  Like an infection that spreads.

We’re sorry to have to be so blunt and just come out and call you people idiots — but that’s what needs to be done. Because for people so upset by the idea of Obama winning this — of Obama and his gang of criminals coming to Washington to take over the government — you sure do an awful lot to cripple efforts to stop him.

All your comments about how “worried” you are or how “hopeless” you are, well, those are just rain clouds hampering efforts underway to win this election for McCain/Palin. Just like you were rain clouds over every primary while the rest of us were working hard to win states for Hillary Clinton.

It is ironic that people who don’t support Obama are perhaps giving him tremendous help by doing this — because every time you spread your negativity online or to your personal friends, that’s exactly what you are doing. You are helping Obama, by depressing those who are working hard to stop him.

It needs to stop.

This is an Eeyore-free zone and that crap will not be tolerated here. We’ve stopped talking to people we know who pull this Eeyore stuff — we still love those people as friends, but are too busy to get sucked into their rain clouds. So, we won’t be taking their calls until after the election. There is just too much to do to spend our days talking Eeyores off ledges.

This site exists to cut through all the crap, all the propaganda, all the media lies.

If we ever thought Obama would really win, we’d shout it from the mountains. We believe John McCain will win, though the media will use all the powers of Hell, if it has to, to swing this election to their favorite candidate. It’s going to be a long hard slog through the rest of this race — but all of this is made so much harder by you Eeyores.

Keep the negative rain cloud garbage to yourself — or even better, be smart enough to see through the propaganda and critically analyze everything that’s being said.

Stop being an Eeyore.

Or, if you can’t do that, at least stop spreading your rain clouds to others.

Because the only thing you are doing is helping Obama.

Who knows, maybe that’s been your secret goal all along.

UPDATE: There’s actually a very good chance a lot of these Eeyores are Obama supporters, pulling a “Tokyo Rose”. During WW2, Tokyo Rose filled the airwaves with gloom and doom, telling American GIs to just give up, that all was lost, that there was no way they could win. Anyone stupid enough to listen to her became depressed, and stopped working hard, because they let Tokyo Rose’s rain clouds get to them. That’s what’s happening now. 

Someone at www.HillaryClintonForum.net pointed out all of this is also a tactic employed by Saul Alinsky, in one of Obama’s favorite books:

Alinsky’s rules include:

(Souce: Newsmax)

“Wherever possible go outside the experience of the enemy. Here you want to cause confusion, fear and retreat.”

“Make the enemy live up to his/her own book of rules. You can kill them with this. They can no more obey their own rules than the Christian church can live up to Christianity.”

“Ridicule is man’s most potent weapon. It is almost impossible to counterattack ridicule. Also, it infuriates the opposition, who then react to your advantage.”

“The threat is generally more terrifying than the thing itself.”

“In a fight almost anything goes. It almost reaches the point where you stop to apologize if a chance blow lands above the belt.”

“Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it and polarize it.”

“One of the criteria for picking the target is the target’s vulnerability … the other important point in the choosing of a target is that it must be a personification, not something general and abstract.”

“The enemy properly goaded and guided in his reaction will be your major strength.”

UPDATE #2: We aren’t the only ones telling you to look at polls critically and rationally. Don’t be mindless Eeyores!

Trying to follow the polls during this election season can make one dizzy. Are we headed for an Obama landslide and a 10- or 11-percent margin of victory? Or is this race still close, with Obama ahead by about 5 percent? The answer depends not only on which polls you read, but — I would argue — on how those polls are reported, especially with regard to the partisan breakdown of survey sample and the seeming dearth of undecided voters.

PARTISAN BREAKDOWN
Let me start with the Obama landslide polls — the most recent examples being a Newsweek poll released on October 11 showing an 11-point lead for Senator Obama and an ABC News/Washington Post Poll released on October 12 showing a similar 10-point lead. No doubt such polls cause great concern among McCain supporters — but should they? As with all polls, the best data comes from what we political diehards call “the internals” or the results below the line that measure candidate support among key demographic groups or public support for candidates on certain issues (the economy, the war, etc).
……
The problem is: In no recent election has the Democratic Party (or any party) enjoyed such an advantage among the American electorate. In 2004, exit polling data found the electorate to be 37 percent D, 37 percent R and 26 percent I. In the 2006 midterm elections for the House of Representatives the electorate was 38 percent D, 36 percent R, and 26 percent I. In 1996 and 2000, Democrats enjoyed a 4-point edge over Republicans. Given this history, it seems hard to believe that the Democrats have suddenly leapt to a 13-point partisan advantage. If one takes the Newsweek results and re-weights them to reflect a more realistic 4 point partisan advantage for Democrats the results change significantly. As can be seen in the following table, Obama’s 11-point lead shrinks to 4.

The other issue to consider when looking at polling data is the number of undecided voters. Most polls are showing remarkably few undecided voters. Newsweek reports 6 percent undecided, ABC News finds only 2 percent. Rasmussen reports none. Yet Zogby finds 8 percent undecided and a recent FoxNews poll found nearly 15 percent of the electorate to be undecided. How can this be?
……
The answer is that most polls “force” undecided respondents to name a preference for a candidate. These “leaners” as they are often called are then lumped in with everyone else as if they were committed supporters. This approach is misleading. According the American National Election Study (which has been examining the American electorate since 1948), in every presidential election since 1992, 15 to 20 percent of the electorate did not make up their mind until the final two weeks before Election Day. Asking respondents to “lean” one way or the other when they are truly undecided creates the false impression that a trailing candidate has very few voters left to convince. In the ABC News poll, 15 percent of Senator McCain’s supporters and 12 percent of Senator Obama’s indicated that the could change their mind before Election Day. If the behavior of the electorate in past elections is any indication, then the final few weeks of the 2008 campaign should provide ample opportunity for movement in this race.

In the end, the polling data suggests that John McCain trails Barack Obama by 4 to 5 percent. Although Obama has enjoyed that lead rather consistently since recent events have catapulted the economy to the top of most voter’s concerns, a 4- to 5-percent lead is far from insurmountable — and the closing weeks of an election is the very time when as many as one in five voters are tuning in and deciding which candidate to support.

Here are two charts:  the first one shows the biased poll that shortchanges Republican party ID, and the second poll shows a more realistic party ID breakdown — note the difference: an 11-point Obama lead shrinks down to just 4-points when correct party ID breakdown is used.

The National Center for Public Polling says to ALWAYS ask the following questions about any poll:

1. Who did the poll?
2. Who paid for the poll and why was it done?
3. How many people were interviewed for the survey?
4. How were those people chosen?
5. What area (nation, state, or region) or what group (teachers,lawyers, Democratic voters, etc.) were these people chosen from?
6. Are the results based on the answers of all the people interviewed?
7. Who should have been interviewed and was not? Or do response rates matter?
8. When was the poll done?
9. How were the interviews conducted?
10. What about polls on the Internet or World Wide Web?
11. What is the sampling error for the poll results?
12. Who’s on first?
13. What other kinds of factors can skew poll results?
14. What questions were asked?
15. In what order were the questions asked?
16. What about “push polls?”
17. What other polls have been done on this topic? Do they say the same thing? If they are different, why are they different?
18. What about exit polls?
19. What else needs to be included in the report of the poll?
20. So I’ve asked all the questions. The answers sound good. Should we report the results?