Today’s RCP map shows McCain winning for the first time.
McCain = 274
SoetorObama = 264
But, we disagree with RCP and feel McCain will win Pennsylvania and Michigan in the fall, as well, so the actual numbers will ultimately be:
McCain = 312
SoetorObama = 226
NOTE: It appears SoetorObama will fall somewhere between Dukakis and Kerry in terms of how large his loss will be in the fall. Here’s a look back at all the losing Democrats in the past 25 years, and how poorly they did in the Electoral College (assuming SoetorObama falls no lower than our expecation in losing PA and MI to McCain):
266 – GORE 2000
251 – KERRY 2004
226 – SOETOROBAMA 2008
111 – DUKAKIS 1988
49 – CARTER 1980
17 – McGOVERN 1972
13 – MONDALE 1984
Remind us why superdelegates are nominating SoetorObama again, when it’s clear to anyone who will step back and look that he’s going to lose — while Hillary Clinton would trounce McCain and expand the Democrats’ map into West Virginia, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Louisiana, while also grabbing Ohio and Florida, and holding onto Michigan and Pennsylvania.
If the Democrats are really stupid enough to throw away another election on a loser, just because he is black, then maybe they don’t deserve to exist as a party anymore. Despite the Washington Generals’ long history in basketball, they long ago lost any pretense that they were actually trying to win, and weren’t there for anything else but the Globetrotters to clobber for regular amusement.
August 19, 2008 at 7:35 pm
This might be the case, but have you checked Dean and Pelosi’s magic 57-state-plus-Germany map? Ah ha. On that one, I think you’ll see that Barry wins.
August 20, 2008 at 1:28 pm
Well I thought that there would be no chance of a Republican to win this year,
But if u pick Obama/Soetoro. a guy how knows little about Politics, who thinks he is good enough to be President before he becomes an unimpressive Senator, who has hardly ever been to the Senate in months, Hillary made sure that the people of New York were represented while on the campaign trail, Soetoro just didn’t bother turning up.
and Obama will not debate McCain, as he always lost against Clinton, even thou the Media didn’t often admit that. and he will not win in a debate against McCain.
Also what has he done in the Senate, even his most loyal supports such as the loser Kerry could not think of a thing live on TV.
No one knows what he will do a President, he announces a policy, it is so bad he loses support.
If it were McCain Clinton she would get 350 electoral college votes, and that is being mean, as she would have won, Ohio, Florida, Arkansas and Neighbouring States, and she would have picked Bayh as her VP. so she would have won Indiana. well the Democrats have given another election away. Obama is worse than Kerry and he was very bad.
I am a Conservative, but I would have voted for Clinton over McCain, as she is smart, clever, logical, and experienced. None of these attributes I could say about Obama. Well lets hope McCain wins. So we see the Hillary 2012 campaign,