10 Things Everyone Gets Wrong About Ohio and Pennsylvania in the 2012 Election
I really hope you hold accountable every conservative writer you see in the next few days freaking out over “Obama winning Ohio!” because this is ridiculously apocryphal; anyone who has ever lived in the buckeye state should know it is going to award its 18 electoral votes to Mitt Romney this year and it won’t even be close. Look for Romney’s win to be a 54% to 46% blowout for Republicans. That’s because Ohio is not a swing state this time around…since Obama’s deliberate push to the Left over the last four years has forced a pendulum correction shift that has now made Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Oregon, and even New Jersey the real swing states (instead of the swing states being Indiana, Iowa, Virginia, and North Carolina like last time…when the political pendulum had swung wildly to the Left during the now-stale “Hopeychange” fad of 2008). There’s just no rational reason for anyone to be worried about a Republican losing Ohio if on the last weekend before a presidential election the states really up for grabs with a 50/50 shot of either side winning include MINNESOTA…and a possible (but not necessarily probable) pickup for Romney is actually New Jersey (which, after Hurricane Sandy and the ineptitude that Democrats have shown in handling rescue efforts there, is a true possibility…as crazy as that might at first seem). If you think of that pendulum swinging, it had to pass Ohio to reach the point where Wisconsin and Minnesota are in play (and would need to swing even deeper into Democrat territory to put states like Washington, Connecticut, and Delaware into “swing” category). I wish it was an absolute armageddon for Democrats and the pendulum had swung so far to the right that California and New York were on the table like they were back in 1984…but I doubt in our lifetimes we’ll ever again see a time when either party loses 49 or 50 states.
I do know, however, that 2012 is going to be the biggest win that Republicans have ever had in modern political history and that Mitt Romney will head to Washington next January with a bigger mandate than any conservative since Ronald Reagan. Romney will, in fact, win over 300 electoral votes and the night’s going to be called early because a lot of “surprise” wins are going to happen in the Midwest, making it clear Obama’s defeated pretty early in the evening on November 6th. If you’ve been paying attention to the plans the Obama campaign made for McCormick Place in Chicago you’ll already know they intend that event to be a Concession Speech and not a Victory Party (and they have known this to be the case for the last three months).
Barack Obama and the Left are going to suffer a massive loss on Tuesday and I am thrilled that my home state of Ohio is going to play a role in that…but I know Ohio’s going to be overshadowed by the euphoria that surrounds Republicans winning in truly unexpected places like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania..and possibly scoring a huge upset by taking the likes of Minnesota and New Jersey, too. Well, “unexpected” if you really haven’t been paying much attention and don’t know a whole lot about Ohio and Pennsylvania in particular. I was born and raised in Cleveland and lived in Pittsburgh for a while as well; though I’m based in Chicago now, I don’t think my home state and its neighbor have changed all that much since I’ve been gone…and friends still on the ground in these states tell me that their families and neighbors are very angry at Democrats for lying to them and making all sorts of promises on which they didn’t deliver.
The conservative writers I see pushing fear porn about Ohio seem to think that between 2008 and 2012 the buckeye state became a solid Leftist stronghold like California or New York, when there’s no evidence to believe that’s the slightest bit true. Anyone saying Obama even has a chance at winning Ohio this time around is either stupid (and shouldn’t be writing professionally) or knows that’s not true and is just doing it to scare you so your panic helps drive up web traffic (which means this person shouldn’t be writing professionally either, since he’s purposefully posting fear porn to score better ad sales with higher hits that day). I actually think it’s crazy to think Obama could win Ohio this year and hope that on November 6th when the results come in you’ll look back and remember who kept telling you to be so afraid…and then on November 7th you do something to call the fear porn mongers out on all this.
As a public service for those who don’t naturally know the mindset of people in Ohio and Pennsylvania, here are the Top Ten things that conservative writers and the fear porn mongers are getting wrong about these states:
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10. The number one reason that Ohioans voted for Barack Obama in 2008 was because they wanted to believe in a magical black man who would solve all their problems, but in 2012 they’ve realized there is nothing magical or even competent about Obama.
This is something that is not “politically-correct” to talk about, so you will NEVER see a story like this in the Ministry of Truth that is our national media Conservative writers are also afraid to talk openly about this because they’re scared of being called racists for talking about the “magical black man” meme that’s been a part of Hollywood for decades now…where a mysterious and often strangely-named black man appears out of nowhere right when white folk need him most and he solves all of their problems if they’d only just believe in him. The actor Will Smith owes his entire career to this tripe, with roles in “The Legend of Bagger Vance”, “Independence Day”, “Men in Black”, “Hitch”, “I am Legend”, etc. constantly showcasing a “hip and cool” black man who pops out of nowhere to rescue desperate or frightened white people who also feel very good about themselves for agreeing to take help from a black man and trusting him with their problems.
This is the number one reason that Barack Obama won the 2008 election: because white people in Ohio, in particular, wanted to be rescued from their troubles like in a Will Smith movie and Minitru sold Obama as the magical black man straight out of central casting who would do that.
As I’ll talk about a little later, Ohio has a longstanding tendency of believing in magic and big dreams to solve all its problems…but then course-correcting abruptly when the dream didn’t pan out. I think Will Smith movies are a good example of this too, because Ohioans will line up for the next Will Smith blockbuster…but won’t turn out for the sequel if they hear its a dud. No matter how delighted they were to sink their butts into theater seats to see Will Smith save white people from destruction one summer…if they catch word that nationwide people just aren’t feeling any love for a sequel, Ohioans will sit home and won’t feel any guilt about not giving Will Smith any more of their money.
Such is true for Barack Obama, the Will Smith of political candidates who stars in the 2012 stinker called “The Dismal Obama Reelection Effort that Ohioans Have No Interest In”.
9. Ohio is a conservative state that gives Democrats a chance (if they seem moderate) while Pennsylvania is a lefty state that will take a chance on a Republican (who seems non-threatening and capable).
Unlike Ohio, I think that Pennsylvania is a state that will vote Democrat unless Republicans either give Pennsylvanians a REALLY tempting option or Democrats screw things up so badly that people in Pennsylvania decided to punish them. In Ohio, I think voters like coming to the ballot box and taking their choices seriously…and I think they really do approach elections out of a hiring mindset, like they’d do with a new employee at work. If someone comes highly recommended — like Obama was pushed by Minitru in 2008 — I think Ohioans respond to that like their personal friends egging them to hire a mutual acquaintance that everyone thinks would be great. But, for a Democrat to win in Ohio that person has to pass an “interview” of sorts with voters and come across as moderate…or else he or she won’t get the job. Pennsylvanians feel this way about Republicans, and won’t elect someone from the GOP unless he or she comes off as a moderate version of someone from that party. So, I think it’s likelier that Ohio would elect a far-right Republican and Pennsylvania would elect a rabid Leftist Democrat than vice-versa; in this way, Ohio and Pennsylvania bookend one another.
2008 was a massive con job by Minitru because Obama was presented as a moderate Democrat that Pennsylvanians could love and Ohioans could deem suitable for “hiring”. Between 2008 and 2010, both Pennsylvanians and Ohioans save that Democrats deceived them in this…and both states set about firing as many Democrats as possible in punishment for that lie. Notice that both Ohio and Pennsylvania formerly had Democrat Governors, Secretaries of State, Attorneys General, etc. and in the 2010 midterm elections that was largely rectified and a great many Obama surrogates in those states lost their elected offices.
It is insane to believe that between 2010 and 2012 the people of Ohio and Pennsylvania decided they were wrong and that they were ready to believe all the old lies from 2008 again. If anything, people are even MORE angry at Democrats because the last two years have fully revealed just how far to the Left Obama truly is. This disqualifies him from “hiring” in Ohio…but Pennsylvanians don’t have a disqualification process like that and instead look to see if the Republican is acceptable. Mitt Romney is not from the south, is not a radical person, and is handsome and acceptable to Pennsylvanians who like their Republicans to be nonthreatening and business-like. So, we have a scenario where Obama won’t be rehired by Ohioans at the same time Romney is just the sort of Republican that Pennsylvanians would vote for.
I think this is why Romney wins both states. If Pennsylvania would ever vote Republican again in our lifetimes, it would be this year…and if it doesn’t, then it’s truly in the league of Illinois, California, and New York as states that won’t ever vote anything but Democrat again. I don’t think Pennsylvania is in the same group as Illinois, based on living in both states…so ultimately I have to say that since there could be no better year ever for a Republican to run for President then, yes, Romney will be given a chance by Pennsylvanian voters here in 2012.
8. Ohioans don’t send radical Leftists to Washington (otherwise you would have heard of more Ohio politicians). Why on Earth would they give Obama another term?
Quick. Name five famous Ohio Democrats who won prominent office.
Okay, name three.
How about one?
I bet if you are not from Ohio or a neighbor state you were stumped…and that’s because Ohio’s representatives on the national stage are never very memorable. During my lifetime, we’ve had guys like Howard Metzenbaum, John Glenn, George Voinovich, Mike DeWine, Rob Portman, Sherrod Brown, and (soon) Josh Mandel representing Ohio in the United States Senate. None of these people have ever set the world on fire, though many were (and are) nice guys on a personal level because Ohioans by and large are very nice people. I can’t remember a time when a Senator from Ohio was on anyone’s list of radicals…on either side of the political aisle. In all my years, I’ve never traveled anywhere that someone asked me where I was from and I said “Ohio” and they hit me back with “Boy, I just hate your Senator there”. People don’t even know who Ohio’s Senators are most of the time. I do, however, have a friend from Missouri and wherever she goes people say something nasty to her about how stupid Claire McCaskill is…and a friend of mine from New York can’t ever talk to anyone without hearing what a clown Chuck Schumer is. But I’m 35 years old and I’ve never traveled to another state where someone hear I was from Ohio and ever said to me, “I can’t stand your Governor or Senator or whatever”.
This is because Ohioans don’t elect people they perceive as extremists and they won’t cast ballots for anyone who is either a committed Leftist or someone on the far-right. That’s not Ohio’s style. Ohio is the state that never sends anyone particularly memorable to high office…and that’s because Ohio does not like being part of big drama.
Ohioans were told that Barack Obama was a moderate and they liked the whole hopeychange fad…but here in 2012 many feel duped and will course-correct in this election because Mitt Romney is very much the sort of competent and determined no-drama guy that the people of Ohio want in national office. Ohioans gave Obama a chance; he failed to live up to their expectations…and now he’ll be replaced with Mitt Romney. It’s really as simple as that.
7. Few people in Ohio really have a connection to anyone working in the auto industry and most realized the Unions killed GM, Ford, and the steel mills in Ohio in the 80s and 90s.
I grew up in Cleveland in the 80s and 90s right when the steel mills and automobile factories were shutting down because the Unions had made it impossible for companies to stay in business in the Cleveland area. So, I witnessed firsthand the implosion of all these manufacturing and auto jobs. This has been going on for 30 years now, and it’s ludicrous to me when I see conservative writers saying “Obama will win because of the auto bailout!”. When I was growing up, people were already perceiving the Unions as greedy parasites that destroyed jobs…and that auto plants and steel mills were going extinct in Ohio because of the Unions, which Democrats allowed to have too much power. Don’t believe the hype that Minitru pushed in 2010 that Ohioans loved the Unions because they rejected Governor Kasich’s reforms…since those only failed because Kasich stupidly included the police and firemen in the public sector reform measures. Ohioans love cops and firemen and will not vote against them, so any Union reforms need to preclude nice looking cops and firemen from standing in front of polling places crying “Please don’t let Republicans hurt me or take away the tools I need to do my jobs!”.
Minitru acts like Unions control Ohio, but they don’t. That would be true about Illinois, but not Ohio. While the Teamsters are still really big around Cleveland, and their thugs deliver votes for Democrats, even their power has been blunted by the steady loss of jobs in Cuyahoga County in the decades of one-party rule there. Ohio is not a solid Democrat-controlled state like Illinois because there is no major city like Chicago to keep Ohio in the Democrat column year after year; Chicago decides the fate of Illinois, but Ohio’s big cities combined do not have half the influence over Ohio that Chicago has over Illinois.
I think it’s a total fantasy on the part of Minitru to think that Ohioans want four more years of Barack Obama just because Minitru has been telling Ohioans that the auto unions love Obama. That’s just absurd.
6. Ohioans enjoy participating in fads and rolling the dice on big dreams, but when bubbles burst they get practical and have no qualms about firing someone who is not doing his job properly.
I’ve written about this nonstop since 2008, but Obama’s election really was a big national fad…like pet rocks, Cabbage Patch Kids, New Kids on the Block, Beanie Babies, Y2K hysteria, etc. Ohioans LOVE being part of fads because it shows they are hip and cool. People in the Midwest often feel put down by the national media as being “unhip”, so if there is an attractive bandwagon, then Ohioans will jump on it with gusto. Which is what happened in 2008.
But, Ohioans are practical people and put their Cabbage Patch dolls and beanie babies in the attic after they realize how ridiculous that stuff all was. That’s where all their Obama hopeychange paraphernalia is moldering right now: in the attic with the other discarded remnants of once white-hot fads.
I think Pennsylvanians are like this too, but are a little less likely to jump on bandwagons like Ohioans. Neither states have anyone who is more excited about voting for Obama in 2012 than they were in 2008…but all the polls looking at the Midwest claim that Obama’s more beloved than ever. And, yet, Mitt Romney’s drawing crowds of over 30,000 in the buckeye state while Obama’s getting only 2,500 people to show up.
I think anyone who says Obama can win Ohio when there is just no enthusiasm for him there is insane (or deliberately telling you Obama will win so you get freaked out and race around pushing that fear porn to drive web traffic to the offending site). There is just no basis in reality to believe Obama will win Ohio when Ohioans are so over the hopeychange fad.
5. If Ohio is really a swing state — meaning a state that is not an automatic vote for Democrats like New York, Illinois, or California — then there’s no chance it goes to Obama this year, when Independents are racing away from Democrats in droves.
This is more insanity: the belief that Obama wins “swing states” when Independents are running away from him like he’s the plague. Where is the logic in this?
Isn’t a swing state a place where neither Democrats nor Republicans control that state…and Independents cast the deciding votes by swinging from one party to the other from year to year? So, if THAT is true then let’s just follow this logically.
* Independents are breaking for Romney in a big way.
* Republicans are NOT voting for Obama like they did in 2008 (to feel good about themselves for electing a black man).
* Democrats who thought they were getting a moderate when they voted for Obama are severely disappointed in the last for years and either will sit home or will vote for Romney next Tuesday.
* There is no culture of a radical Left that’s pervasive in Ohio, so there are not many Obama cultists or true zealots in this state.
How on Earth does Obama win?
The latest fear porn is that “Democrats will steal Ohio through voter fraud!”. While I know voter fraud does exist in Ohio — and that Democrats are behind it — I can tell you that it’s absurd to think that Democrats have gotten better at voter fraud in Ohio from 2010 to 2012. Remember that in 2010 Ohio voters booted out most Democrats from statewide office and sent Rob Portman to the Senate. Ted Strickland, a moderate Democrat, was thrown from office because Ohioans were so angry over Obamacare. In fact, a ballot initiative declared that Ohio would not go along with any Obamacare mandate.
If you are someone who believes the fear porn and truly thinks Democrats are powerful enough in Ohio to use voter fraud to save Obama then you need to ask yourself a basic question: why on Earth didn’t they use that fraud magic back in 2010 to keep the Governor’s mansion, the Secretary of State position, the Attorney General, Congressional offices, and the Senate seat? Why didn’t Democrats use fraud to prevent the anti-Obamacare initiative from passing?
It makes no sense.
Without control of the Governor’s Mansion and the position of Secretary of State voter fraud is very hard to commit on a scale needed to tip an important election. Fraud CAN — and does — tip close elections…but there needs to be Democrats in control of the statewide offices to allow that to happen. Ohio has conservatives in all the positions that Democrats used to hold in the lead up to Obama’s election in 2008…and the positions that oversaw the 2010 elections. There is no way on Earth that Obama “steals” Ohio.
I am going to say this bluntly: anyone who claims that Democrats will steal Ohio through voter fraud are DELIBERATELY scaring you just to drive up their web traffic. There are a great many conservative writers who need the ad sales that fear porn generates…and it’s a classic, scary story to tell you that “Democrats are going to rig the Ohio elections!”. Do not believe this.
Democrats have no ability to do this on a statewide level any more. Governor Kasich will not allow them to do this. Attorney General Mike Dewine will not allow this. Secretary of State Jon Husted will not allow this. The fear porn mongers out there who claim these things know that until the election happens no one can prove them wrong definitively, so they lie to you and say you should be terrified of voter fraud “stealing the election in Ohio”.
I am going on record telling you that there is a greater chance of being killed in a great white shark attack in your bathroom on November 6th than of Democrats stealing Ohio’s election through voter fraud…and that any voter fraud that happens in Ohio will be so minimal that it will not impact the race due to the MASSIVE disparity in enthusiasm between Romney (who is drawing crowds of 30,000 in Ohio) and Obama (who can only muster 2,500 at events that often involve free concerts by big name stars).
Do not fall victim to gear porn!
4. Nothing happened between 2010 and 2012 to make Ohioans or Pennsylvanians trust Democrats again (let alone make them fall in love with them enough to give Obama a second term).
This is another exercise in logic for you. Try and think of anything that happened between 2010 and 2012 to make Ohioans and Pennsylvanians believe that Democrats really aren’t all that bad and that they should be trusted with the destiny of the country.
There’s not a damn thing.
3. This is still a center-right, Christian country despite what the Ministry of Truth would like you to believe and voters in Ohio and Pennsylvania don’t want to see the Left control America.
Another no-brainer, folks. But the interesting thing is that the Ministry of Truth that is the national media in this country is controlled 100% by the Left…so what you see on tee-vee and hear on the radio is what they WANT to happen to the country. These people live in a fantasy world and really do want to transform this country into a socialist paradise. Outside of the newsrooms and the offices of MSNBC…and outside the Eloi nests in the major urban centers…no one else wants America to become a “socialist paradise” and Americans are repulsed by the Left.
That’s why I tell you not to use the word “liberal” when talking about Democrats and why I don’t allow any comments calling Democrats “liberals” to ever post on this site. These people are Leftists and you should call them that (or “lefties”, depending on the sentence). Calling them “liberals” HELPS THEM…because it is what they WANT to be called. You are a damn fool if you keep doing this. Every time you use the word “liberal” to describe a Democrat you are writing a check for $5.00 in free advertising for these radicals because focus group testing has proved that people who don’t follow politics closely interpret the word “liberal” to be a good thing, because it sounds “open to new ideas” to them. In reality, Democrats are Leftists (or lefties) who seek to impose their will on others and aren’t open to anything besides their own agenda.
You are a damn fool to ever call these people “liberals” because you make them sound more appealing to others. If you use this word, KNOCK IT OFF TODAY.
I honestly think Democrats would never win another national election if conservatives would only eradicate usage of the word “liberal” and would instead call these people “lefties” or “Leftists”. After November 7th, I am going to make it my mission in life to get every conservative writer and pundit to eliminate usage of the word “liberal” so that Democrats get perceived as what they really are: Leftists.
I hope you stop using the word “liberal” yourself and chide anyone you see who still employs it: even if it’s a big name person like Rush Limbaugh or Ann Coulter, who both should know better.
2. If Pennsylvania is really a swing state, it has to vote Republican sometime…and these are the best conditions for that to happen ever.
Today is the first day that I’m going to say definitively that Romney will win Pennsylvania.
That’s a big deal for me, because Pennsylvania has been such a tease of a state for the longest time that I’ve called it the Zac Efron of states, named after the clearly gay actor who toys with the idea of coming out of the closet every once in a while (but always changes his mind and acquires a new Disney actress beard because his PR people told him to). One day, Zac will come out as a gay man (my boyfriend Justin and I saw him at the gay bar The Abbey when we were in L.A. last, and what Zac was doing ogling a go-go boy clearly indicates he’s gay) and Pennsylvania will have to vote Republican if it is really a swing state. Otherwise, you’d just have to declare Pennsylvania to be like California and New York and say they are states in which Republicans have no chance, ever.
There have never been more perfect conditions for Pennsylvania to “come out” as Republican. In recent years, Pennsylvania has elected a Republican governor and will elect a Republican Senator in this race. I don’t see anything about Mitt Romney that is unappealing to Pennsylvanians…he is the exact sort of Republican these voters like.
So, it comes down to this:
(A) Do I believe Pennsylvania is really a swing state that Republicans can win, ever? The answer is: YES.
(B) Do I believe that Mitt Romney is the best possible candidate Republicans could have run for president in Pennsylvania in the year 2012: YES.
(C) Do I believe that 2012 will be the best year for Republicans in a national election since Reagan in 1984? YES.
So, I have to go on the limb and say Romney wins Pennsylvania…as big of a shock as it is. It’s going to be like Zac Efron and Leonardo DiCaprio announcing on November 7th that they’re getting a civil union. It will be a shocker, but afterwards you’ll put it all together and realize that, YES, you should have seen it coming all along because all the signs were there.
Either Pennsylvania goes to Romney in 2012 or it was never and will never be a true swing state…and I just don’t think THAT is true so therefore I honestly believe Romney does the seemingly impossible and finally brings Pennsylvania over to the side of the good guys this year.
1. Ohioans like being on the winning side, and no president of either party has won election without winning Ohio…because Ohio always goes with the ultimate winner (and this seems to be really hard for pundits to wrap their head around, but it’s just a cultural thing with Ohioans in that they enjoy being “right” on election day and joining the victory party).
I’m going to conclude this list with the biggest peeve I have with a lot of conservative writers…and it’s that they are so damn lazy when it comes to Ohio’s voting history.
I see the line repeated a lot that “no Republican can win without Ohio” and think, “Yah, dummy…and no Democrat since 1960 won without Ohio either”.
What people miss is that Ohio is a state that votes the way they think the rest of the states will vote and goes where the energy is flowing. Ohioans enjoy attending victory parties on election nights because it makes them feel like big smarties for picking the “right guy”. Ohioans don’t want to be on the losing side of a presidential race ever again and enjoy casting their lot with the perceived winner. In 2008, that was Barack Obama and Ohioans enjoyed making history and helping to elect a black man to the presidency.
In 2012, however, Ohioans will feel good about being part of the firing of the first incompetent black man to ever be the President of the United States. They gave Obama a chance, but Ohioans see that nationally the country wants Obama out of office….and Ohio will help do that.
I honestly believe that Ohio doesn’t even need polling and that the state should just always be put in the column of whoever has the positive energy going into the campaign and is perceived to be the winner in terms of zeitgeist. Every election has a person like this…and this time that is Mitt Romney.
Ohio wil go to Romney and he’ll be our 45th President. In an election year when it sure looks like Wisconsin is going to vote Republican for the first time in ages, it’s absurd to think Ohio would even consider voting for Obama.
Anyone saying otherwise is just stupid, doesn’t know a thing about Ohio, or is only trying to freak you out so that you panic, revel in fear porn, and drive more web traffic to that person’s site to up their ad sales.
Do not fall for the fear porn!
© 2012, Kevin DuJan. All rights reserved.
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Hi Kevin. Thank you for all you do!! Thought I would chime in with a ground report from Western Wisconsin. I am becoming more and more confident that Wisconsin will be going for Romney.
I have seen more interest in this election than I have ever seen before. We’re just plain “fed up”. Wisconsinites are very caring about the needy, elderly, disabled, etc but are fed up with busting our butts working while our money is redistributed to others that have the ability to work and don’t. When you stand in line with your flour, sugar, and potatoes so you can stretch your budget by making things from scratch and you see the person ahead of you pull out the food stamp card to buy chips, cookies, pop, and pizza it gets pretty irritating. The Obama phone woman burns our butts around here, too.
I think the successful Scott Walker election was the tipping point. The democrats were out in full force for that and came up short. All that election did was rile up people who don’t normally follow politics and make them feel empowered and united. There is a sleeping giant here and the anti-gun, anti-religion, anti-personal responsibility stuff has pushed people that normally just stayed on the sidelines.
Yes, we still have the liberal college areas that will go for Obama, but I think they have seen their maximum numbers. The rural people I know would walk on broken glass to vote for Romney if they had to. I don’t see the same enthusiasm as in 2008 with the Obama supporters. It almost seems like they are embarrassed.
In fact, I heard a radio ad for a democrat state representative running as an incumbent that I though was quite telling. The ad kept talking about how this guy is “bipartisan” and “co-sponsored democrat and republican legislation”. I think they actually mentioned republican more than democrat in the ad. It was as if the democrats can see that there will be a lot of down-ballot voting for republicans and he’s trying to peel off a few of those votes.
I’m starting to wish I had taken off work on Wednesday because I know I will be up late
Don’t worry, Carebear. We’ll all know the winner by 10 PM and it will be Romney. You’ll sleep like a baby! Heck, I’m hearing we might even put my State of Minnesota in the Romney “win” column!
I won’t be able to keep myself from watching the MSM as they have their meltdowns, though….could be up all night with that!
HA! That’s so true. I can’t wait to see Tingles lose it. You said you live in Western Wisconsin. Hudson? You’re practically my neighbor if you live there.
My power’s back on in NJ. I hope they restore my cable before Tuesday, so I don’t have to miss Tingles’ head explode.
HA. I truly can’t wait to see his melt down. Best wishes to you in New Jersey. I know you’ve had a horrible week, and I hope your family is safe and sound.
Watching MSNBC on Tuesday will be like every childhood Christmas Day and birthday rolled into one. It’s going to be incredible watching those people implode!
Cable has been restored! Now I have power and cable. All I need now is:
1. Romney to win.
2. Take control of the Senate.
3. Keep control of the House.
4. Gas for my car.
In that order.
(now, I can watch Tingles’ head explode)
I plan to watch fox AND MSNBC…the night that Scott Walker won the re-call election…I flipped back and forth, and when the election was called for Walker….Ed Shulz on MSNBC broke down in tears. He was distraught! (I would be the same way if bHusseino wins)
Thank you, Kevin and Tamminator! Ya’ll are so inspiring!!
I have to content myself with watching via the Internet. I saw a clip of Tingles having a meltdown after the first debate, and it did my heart a lot of good.
I agree it will be an early night.
Also about Pennsylvania …
1. 2010 we voted in a Republican governor (moderate) and a Republican senator (not moderate at all). Nobody can convince me that people are LESS pissed off this year than 2010.
2. While it’s true that PA has voted mostly for Dems for President in the past few years, when it comes to governors we tend to go back and forth when it comes to the governor. So it’s 2 terms for a Democrat and then we say, “Okay, enough of that!” Then 2 terms for a Republican … and then back again. Yeah, we’re just a tad schizo.
3. Western Pennsylvania … COAL, COAL, COAL. Northeastern Pennsylvania … SHALE, SHALE, SHALE.
4. As I have been reporting for a couple of weeks now, in Delaware County – one of the 4 counties adjacent to Philadelphia that USUALLY determines every election by virtue of their large populations – Romney vs Obama lawn signs are running about 3 or 4 to 1.
5. Tom Smith – who was trailing Casey by 20 points two months ago – is now neck-on-neck in the Senate race:
http://www.politicspa.com/trib-poll-casey-46-smith-45/43814/
And … that’s all I got. Five.
Not mention that our new Republican state government has made voter fraud an issue ever since 2010, so for all of you non-Pennsylvanians, don’t worry about Philadelphia running rampant with voter fraud.
The Voter ID law that was just passed means that if the Philly Democrats try to stuff ballot boxes, Corbett will be ready to cry foul and humiliate them for kicking and screaming about how Voter ID laws are not necessary.
The Democrats are caught between a rock and a hard place with PA in 2012, and we can pull off an upset!
From inside Philly I’m seeing something similar, and in our close in suburbs Montgomery and Bucks Counties. There was one neighborhood out by Willow Grove Mall where almost every house had an O sign in 2008. Just one between where we live and there, some for state races, a few for Alyson Schwartz (but more for Rooney), maybe two or three for Casey (more for Smith). So I’m hoping you’re right.
Tom Smith is great, Casey likes calling himself a ”moderate”, he isn’t. He thought that after beating Santorum by 18% he could get away with voting the Obama ticket and not bother campaigning and still win.
Casey is gonna lose because Democrats are not bothered about voting when every Republican will be voting. The polls showing Republican senate candidates lagging Romney by 2-4 points in many swing states like Ohio, Penn, Florida and Virginia. If Romney wins those states by 5% due to high GOP turnout and low Dem turnout then they will all win.
Dick Morris backed Smith ages ago and said he could win, he may be right.
Another report from Wisconsin. Just came back from making phone calls at the North Shore (northern Milwaukee County) Victory Office. Large group making calls. Our office makes calls State-wide and has goals of 6,000 calls and 1,200 doors a day and we have exceeded the quota every day. The GOTV structure built by Scott Walker and Reince Preibus is organized and professional.
By the time election day rolls around, the GOP will know how many have voted early, how many plan to vote in the morning, how many during the day and how many in the evening.
As I was leaving, I convinced a guy who just came in for a button (we don’t have any) to sit down “for just 5 minutes” to make calls.
Anyone else from Wisconsin should go in and volunteer. Lots of fun. Very organized. They need door-to-door canvassing volunteers.
Kevin I linked this to my blog for my reader who is such a pessimist. He takes too much notice of the moaners and the groaners to accept that Romney has a good chance of winning this election.
I agree with your comments, because I see nothing to convince me that people have changed their opinions since 2010 when the Republicans gained so many seats in Ohio. The opposite is simply not going to happen.
“In 2012, however, Ohioans will feel good about being part of the firing of the first incompetent black man to ever be the President of the United States.” Funny stuff, Kevin, thanks for the laugh!
This essay helps a lot and makes logical sense, especially the voter fraud debunking. You’re right, why wouldn’t the lefties have stolen 2010? And now there’s no way because all the Republicans are in the leadership positions. You’ve put me back on terra firma, Kevin, thanks for all you do!
I can’t believe it.
The day of reckoning is almost here.
Obama supporters were crying tears of joy in ’08 and now some of those same people will be shedding tears of joy at seeing him lose this election.
I predict that instead of rioting in the streets there’s going to be dancing in the streets rejoicing the end of this nighmare that is the Obama regime.
The enormous weight that has been on the nation’s collective shoulders will finally be removed.
Newsmax a conservative site is filled with Eeyors.
The thing we should be worried about is the Senate. Akin and Murdock have messed up big in easy races. Plus the Democrats calling themselves ”moderates” to win elections but then voting the party line.
Romney will win the votes of many Democrats who will vote for the Senate Democrats. This doesn’t matter if Romney wins by a large margin like Dick Morris and Hillbuzz predict. Harry Reid controls the Democrats tightly, there is no such thing as a moderate Democrat.
The reason why Congress has done nothing is because Harry Reid blocks all the House Bills from getting voted on in the Senate to help Obama and not put the fake ”moderates” on the spot of either backing their party or state.
Harry Reid as majority leader will be a nightmare for Romney as he will set out to destroy Romney, or as minority leader of a large Democrat Caucus will filibuster everything.
So get to work backing Senate candidates on Tuesday and then after the election give Romney a super Majority in the Senate.
Actually Akin has not messed up. He made a comment that was taken out of context because he was clumsy in expressing what he meant. It is now a non-issue.
The more important issue is that Clarebear’s husband did some sweetheart deals that netted him millions of dollars.
Same with Mourdock. I do not necessarily think that he will lose but it will be close. The reason? I think most people who are voting are not doing so based upon a false abortion issue.
I have spent the day on several sites, both left and right and saw some of the same. Someone posted on Facebook last night Harry Reid saying how “we will not work with a President Romney”. It made me so angry that I have spent the day reminding people that the election is NOT until Tuesday, so we should vote to take that Majority Leader responsibility away from poor little ole Harry!! Dumbnut……
Vote them out if that is his position!
I love reading your articles and God i hope ur right..I cry everytime I hear Mitt talk and as a good Catholic I am making the sign of the cross and sayin” Please God, this is a good man and he loves this country, help him win on Nov 6th..from my lips to God’s ears..
Just a note, I have noticed comments on recent HillBuzz articles where someone is using “liberal” instead of “leftist”… are the moderation filters goofed?
It’s probably me, Archaic. Kevin picks that up faster than I do. Just a reminder to everyone: DO NOT USE THE TERM LIBERAL OR YOU MAY GET BLOCKED FROM POSTING. Kevin’s, site, Kevin’s rules.
Oh Tamminator, I guess I cannot mention that I vote for the Liberal Party in Australia? They are the conservative party and they know the real meaning of that word.
Yesterday I sent my conservative California son the Washington Examiner ariticle leading with a Penn win. I did this so I would have his dissing me on record: it’s going to be so sweet to have him admit to being wrong once in his adult life (don’t ever let your kid go to law school.) Sure enough, he answered with one sentence: “I can’t take any article predicting a Romney win in PA seriously.” As for myself, am in a state of calm excitement now.
Thanks, Kevin!
Also on Pa:
Bob Casey has taken to denigrating Tom Smth in their race for senate by calling him ‘Tea Party Tom Smith’ in his ads. The funny thing is the more he does it, the closer the election gets, Tom Smith has taken a small lead and Casey has dropped well below 50% now.
This shows two things:
#1 The term Tea Party may be a slur at HuffPo or BSNBC but not in the rank and file voters.
#2 Romney has big coat tails that is starting to appear to take down senators.
Also in 2000 and 2004 the electorate was farily even among Repubs and Dems with Indies being split as well. They are split fairly closely this time but Indies are breaking 10+% for Romney.
There are more Indies this time as people like me aren’t lefties and were disgusted at Repubs for nominating crypt keepers like McCain that never had a chance. We are the Reagan Democrats/Conservatives of old that both parties have left behind. A Romney landslide will bring us back to life and leaders will share our views once again.
Kevin, there are stories up on sites like Breitbart that say Barry only drew 4000 in Cleveland today, and he had 80,000 there in 2008. Plus paltry crowds of 2800, 3800 and then 4000 yesterday at three Ohio rallies. The spin Dems are using is that he’s deliberately going to smaller cities and so we should expect smaller crowds.
Who besides the Obamabots would believe that? I mean if there was any way they thought he could fill football stadiums again that’s exactly where he would be holding the rallies.
McCain drew bigger crowds in the closing days in Ohio than Barry is now! And yet polls show him ahead of Romney by 3 to 5 points, with huge Dem oversampling.
Guys like Charlie Cook and Nate Silver are predicting Barry will win. The only reason I can think of why they would be spreading this lie is to try and scare Republicans into believing it.
I’m as confident as you are that Romney will win big on election night. It’s not even going to be close.
Thank you for all you do and for a great blog.
I lived in the Cleveland suburbs for a while and I think I met less than 10 conservatives the entire time. But nevertheless I agree with Kevin. Cleveland is the most Leftist part of the state and I know for a fact there is less enthusiasm there.
It might be the most leftist, but it isn’t the bluest. That honor (?) goes to Youngstown…
And internal polling (admittedly a couple of months ago) showed Romney winning handily.
Oh… Youngstown is heavily Catholic… (and, incidentally, the shale drilling in this part of the State has re-opened shuttered steel mills… gotta have pipes to move that natural gas, after all…
I think Mitt has done a great job and run a fabulous campaign…
Concerns:
VOTE SUPPRESSION:
This one makes me furioius:
http://thehill.com/blogs/floor-action/senate/265925-gop-senators-thousands-of-ballots-unlikely-to-reach-military-voters?set_fb_var=1
VOTER INTIMIDATION:
On a facebook page called Vote Guards, they have a picture posted tonight, 11.05.12, of Black Panthers decked out in their para-military garb outside door of the Board of Elections in Cuyahoga County.. I can’t get a link to copy copy….but it’s on their FB page.
FRAUD:
There have been reports of Voting Machines that change a Romney vote to an Obama vote…(btw: NO reports of Obama votes changing to Romney) in a least 6 states.
VIGILANCE: WATCH….PRAY….REPORT!
LOUDLY voice any concerns to the poll workers …write down the time, circumstances, names, any and all pertinent information regarding the incident, take pictures, contact local media…radio, TV, print…Contact your state Attorney General and/or Secretary of State, your mayor, your Governor, your State and Federal representatives. The DOJ (altho it won’t do anygood)…the FBI…
FILE REPORTS to anyone and everyone in an official capacity you think of. And follow up….we cannot allow this election to be STOLEN!
VIGILANCE, people!!!!!!!
Rove almost had me throwing up on my lap yesterday when he confidently claimed on a news show (Greta maybe? I don’t know – they’re all a blur right now) that Romney would win in a landslide but that it was going to be such a razor thin win in all the swing states that we absolutely would not know the outcome until Wednesday morning or afternoon.
Seriously, I would be so extremely incapacitated with sheer terror if it were to actually be *that* close – not to mention drunk off my arse – that it would be very ugly.
But then my rational side slapped my scared-y self silly. A 30,000 voter rally to Obama’s 2800 is not close. That is a political tsunami. They aren’t going to need all night to determine a winner with that kind of enthusiasm gap between candidates.
And I’m glad to report that a 200 person turnout at an Obama rally featuring the un-frickin’-believably amazing Steve Wonder is Deh-VUH-[stomp]-stating! for Obama’s campaign.
This is NOT close. This is going to be a wipe-out. And we aren’t going to have to wait till Wed afternoon to figure that out you P.O.S. Rove.
That may be why many people call him “Tokyo Rove” . . . .
Ohhhh…very clever!
I was watching that too, I just thought it was funny. He laid out why Romney was going to win big and then added the media-line qualifier about how close it was going to be. Man these people all love the attention they’re getting right now. We’ll know who won well before we go to bed Tuesday night.
I like Michael Barone who has called it for Romney definitively, 320 EVs. At least the guy is willing to be confident. I also like Rush Limbaugh – I used to not be able to stand that guy but either he has mellowed or I’ve become more tolerant, but now I enjoy listening to him because he refuses to be negative. I also love reading Mark Steyn. Ed Morrissey is OK. But I’m avoiding the Tokyo Roses like Allahpundit. I know Romney will win. I have no idea if it will be a landslide or by just a few EVs, but I know he will win! And, if I had to bet, I would bet with the landslide.
Kevin, tourism will be up in Ohio because of you!
Hi Kevin,
1. Do you know what time the polls close in OH?
2. What is your guess on what time OH “will be called for Romney”?
3. What time do you think the election will be called?
My sis and bro in law just moved to WI this past spring from Detroit. My bro in law was raised a Chicago Democrat -hard left.
They were in Pittsburgh last week visiting and I asked him what was going on in WI. He said “Scott Walker is revered as a hero in WI” and that “his supporters will win the state for Romney”.
Made my weekend…..
The convincing Walker recall win has been why in the not too distant past I was much more worried about Ohio than I was Wisconsin.
7:30 polls close.
8:00 call for Romney.
If OH goes for Romney it is all over.
PA, btw, doesn’t close until 9pm IIRC.
polls are now showing PA is TIED.
IF PA is tied in a poll then OH is Romney’s. And if Romney takes PA, it’s a landslide.
I’ll take a win.
But the latest poll out of Florida is VERY interesting. Romney 51%, Obama 45%.
Which means that the actual vote will go around 54-46.
Now, Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are at the political center of gravity of the United States. Ohio at the CG, Florida about 1.5% more Republican, Pennsylvania about 2% more Democrat.
The implication is that if FL really DOES go for Romney 54-46, Ohio should go 53-47, PA 51-49.
God grant that they do.
I think this image, which I shamelessly pinched from PJM, expresses nicely what Kevin has been telling us above, and in all his other Anti-Doom essays:
http://cdn.pjmedia.com/tatler/files/2012/11/Keep-Calm-snake-200×300.gif
Thank you so much for that picture!!
Romney has big coat tails that is starting to appear to take down senators.
I predict we hold and add to the House and take the Senate
For all you RR supporters. . .Want a quick pep-up?
This RR video is one of the most upbeat campaign videos I have watched. . .
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=QgKGCkZjjO8
GO RR!!
Kevin now that you’ve schooled me on how fear porn generates hits &, therefore increased revenue for sites I can clearly see what they are doing where I couldn’t prior to the education.
I visit Hotair daily and now see that EVERY weekend lately (which I’m assuming is lower traffic times) they drag Jazz Saw out of the closet to post fear porn! He has two today- one on senate races & the other titled “dirty tricks in Ohio.”. This follows your meme perfectly.
My thoughts on this article combined with a ground report:
1). Ohioans always fall for a big scheme that will save their cities. Youngstown’s fell for a blimp factory that was going to “revolutionize transportation, a massive indoor NASCAR track, a then Chevy Center that was going to make us the entertainment of the world, and too many more to count. And you’re right, as soon as one scheme collapses we immediately set it asside- but we’re positive people who dream big so inevitably another will come along.
2). The auto bailout isn’t that big a deal because not many people have a connection to it. Here in the Mahoning Valley we have GM’s largest plant in Lordstown. People here hate the autoworkers because they are lazy, loudmouthed, entitled jerks- everyone here can tell you stories of a neighbor who has sat home on a phony sick leave claim collection $750 a month for years.
3). This goes along with #2: the UAW president of the Lordstown plant ran for mayor in 2010 and lost in a landslide. As stated, they are hated here.
4). As you stated there were many statewide offices won here in 2006 due to Bush fatigue & there were also two US representatives swept into office with Obama in 2008. In 2010 they were, to a man, tossed out in landslides (and Steickland is a pretty nice guy and a minister- such was the anger at Obama & that anger has gotten STRONGER.)
5). I can get to the Western PA border in about 25 minutes and spend about three days a week in Mercer County. PA has the highest firearm ownership rate in the country and deer season is literally a holiday. The rural areas are all in for Romney.
6). I have tons of relatives in Pittsburgh & was recently at a wedding there. Unprompted they all were saying how much they hate Obama.
7). Ohio & PA are VERY catholic & the church has come out heavily against Obama- the Bishop in Youngstown, who happens to be black, publicly denounced him. And they “Baba Brigades” of devote Catholic women are loaded for bear.
8). The Mahoning County Democrat Party Chairman was on local talk radio Friday talking about how it’s good the area is getting attention from both dem & repub candidates (Paul Ryan’s last campaign stop of the election will be in Youngstown, Ohio on Monday night!!!!) does that sound like words from a gut who thinks Obama will win?
9) in my life I never thought I’d say this but I strongly believe the Mahoning Valley will go Romney! Once the fad wore off the people of Youngstown could see that Obama was nothing but a two bit grifter. We have plenty of them here via the mob & local politicians. Obama may have been okay here of he went by the normal rules of graft as practiced here & shared some of the spoils. But since he limited his playoffs to high dollar donors and didn’t “spread the money around,” well, as weird as it sounds, that makes him a “crock” here.
It is not just HotAir doing this kind of thing. American Thinker has been posting similar articles. I have a reader on my blog who seems to be frightened out of his wits because he reads this stuff and believes it. I tell him that he needs to remember PEOPLE POWER, but I am not getting my message through to him.
1. Winston Churchill said, “Americans can always be trusted to do the right thing… after they have tried all the wrong things.” We tried the wrong thing in 2008 and will do the right thing in 2012.
2. “No Republican has ever won the White House without winning Ohio.” Yes, and no Democrat has ever won the White House without winning a southern state. Which southern state will Obama win? (Correct answer: none.)
3. In “The Obama Timeline” in August 2011 I predicted that Obama would face problems in Oregon on election day. Look for that possible upset. Heads will explode on MSNBC. (Well, by the time they get to Oregon they will already have exploded.)
http://www.theobamatimeline.com
I can’t even find the words to describe how outstanding your assessment and ability to feel the pulse of these two states are, but you’ve got the right of it, Kevin. Absolutely.
Hi Kevin,
I am very glad you addressed the voter fraud issue.
This has been bothering me for a long time.
In my “perfect world” I would love to see the GOP take Nevada and New York. I know this is probably a stretch but one can dream:)
Interesting piece from one of our conservative journalists – we don’t have many in Australia – but I thought I would share it with you:
http://blogs.news.com.au/dailytelegraph/piersakerman/index.php/dailytelegraph/comments/us_voters_need_to_put_romney_in_white_house/
Good comparison between our PM Gillard and Obama. They are using the same playbook!
if I could like this more than once
I would give your comment a 10. Piers Akerman has been a wonderful conservative journalist, and ditto for Tim Blair, plus Andrew Bolt. There are a couple of others who deserve a mention. One of them is Larry Pickering who is now running his site as the PickeringPost. He was described by the SubPrime as a misogynist nut job…. and I just love that dildo that he has Julia toting in his cartoons.
You are correct about Obama and Gillard. They are two peas in the same pod. Yes, indeed they are playing from the same playbook and each one is corrupt.
It will not be long and I will have the please of voting out Craig Thomson who is the member of Dobell, best known for his using union funds to pay for prostitutes.
You and I are totally on the same page. Andrew Bolt’s site is my homepage!
I have been reading his items and posting occasionally for years!
Piers and Blair are great and now we also have Pickering and Michael Smith!
I cannot wait to see that lying, adulterous and corrupt bogan queen get voted out of The Lodge.
What a disgrace she is.
She slept her way too the top,IMHO.
For US readers – Bogan – is worse than trailer Trash, unless reader Aussie can come up with a better description:)
I comment on Andrew’s page occasionally. I am still an ex-Victorian but no longer in the People’s Republic of Canberra
I forgot to mention Michael Smith, and yes I do make comments on both Pickering Post and Michael Smith News.
My votes now mean something and Craig Thomson will know how my vote will count in the future
.
Meanwhile, I actually responded to Newspoll, but they were only after State data. The survey also asked about renewable energy. As if I would agree to paying more so they can put up more blight on the landscape bird smashers!!
BTW are you aware that Julie Bishop managed to get the husband stealing misandrist to lie in the Parliament? It was a slip I think because she had been deflecting and claiming that her non answers at that press conference explained everything.
What she said was that she did not report Wilson to the police because an investigation was already under way. WRONG. The police did not get involved until 1996, so there was no investigation under way relating to the AWU-WRA.
I would have said that Bogan was equivalent to the trailer trash but she is the queen of the trash!!
Ohio will vote Romney/Ryan! I was at their Rock Star Rally last night in West Chester, which is a suburb of Cincinnati and it was standing room only inside the perimeter of this outdoor event which held about 20,000 supporters but we heard the supporters outside the perimeter so I’d imagine the total was around 23,000 Ohioans stood for the 4 hour event!
The line up of political stars were only eclipsed by Romney and Ryan and, of course, Kid Rock opened the event with his band and placed around 6 songs was awesome! The speakers included, Josh Mandel, Rob Portman, Ohio Gov Kasich, Marco Rubio, Arthur Davis (democrat turned Republican), John Boehner, John McCain, New Hamphire’s Sen. Kelly Ayotte, and a couple I can’t recall. Texas’ Rick Perry and Kay Bailey Hutchinson were in attendance as was Lindsey Graham and Steve Chabot. The speakers were inspiring and it was wonderful to be with kindred spirits on this chilly, fall evening! Much better than watching the talking heads on tee vee wringing their hands and worrying over the polls! Tomorrow, many of us are going door to door and Tuesday I’ll be a poll observer since I voted early. I feel the victory in the air and notice the quiet apathy from my democratic neighbors who, just 4 years ago, were on fire about electing our first Black President. Sadly, Obama let them down terribly but Romney will hit the ground running and we’ll all benefit sooner, rather than later!
Not falling for the fear porn, Kevin! Article posted and shared via my facebook and email. Thank you!!!
I guess you could call this a ground report from the middle of nowhere Arizona. I live in a fairly new town between Phoenix and Tucson that’s been around since the 1860′s but only incorporated in 2003. It is considered a bedroom community because a majority of the residence commute into the metro Phoenix area for work.
In 2008, it was Obamamania, signs were everywhere, with an occasional McLame/Palin sign thrown in now and then.
This year, I have seen NO Nobama signs. Not a one. There are a few coworkers that I know are Nobama supporters, but no one seems to be talking about it as much. I think I am the only one in town with a Mitt sticker on my truck, but there are Romney/Ryan signs affixed to state candidate campaign signs all over town.
A significant difference from 2008. I work on election day. I cannot wait to gloat over a Romney/Ryan win…well, I won’t gloat, but I’ll be driving home at midnight from the casino I work at with a HUGE smile on my face!!
excellent analysis as usual!
Wow!!!! Brilliantly argued! Extremely persuasive and fact-laden. Forwarded it to rubinj@washpost.com, author of Right Turn. Let’s get the media onto K BEFORE the Big Win.
Great article.
I think the best term for democrats now is DEMSHEVIKS as it fully conveys the degree they are controlled by the marxist/commie/”progressive” left.
Thanks for the encouragement. I believe you mare right. Obama won by having a huge margin in the early voting last year. McCain would be president if only the election day ballots counted. Polling and party affiliation indicate early voting is a tie or even slightly leaning Romney this year. Ohio doesn’t do party affiliation, but I can’t see how Obama can win the3re based on the national trends.
Kevin, I’m from Columbus and with you on most of your points, but I think you are missing something more basic. Ohio is literally at the crossroads between North, South and Midwest. Everything South of I-70 (sometimes referred to as the real Mason-Dixon Line) starts looking Appalachian and Southern. Cincinnati may as well be Birmingham or Nashville. Everything from a line beginning from about Toledo to about Wheeling resembles PA and the Northeast. Western Ohio is rural Midwestern and Columbus is a poor man’s Austin/Madison/Portland. In other words, Ohio is kind of a microcosm of the national electorate. That’s why Ohio is a good test market and why it’s so hotly contested in every election.
The Senate is VERY important to take back. The most dispicable evil person in DC today is Harry Reid. Being from NV, I can tell you that he is and always has been every bit as bad as Obama. (He only gets elected by fraud and buying off the fools that “run” the republican party in the state.) He is not even a member of the human race at this point. He is a little man – not only in stature but in principle – and will do anything to keep what he feels is his rightful leadership/power in the Senate. His PAC has been doling out piles of money to attempt to influence the results of contests from Montana, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, PA and others that I am aware of. He is a desperate weasel attempting to keep the rest of the desperate weasels in office.
Don’t forget to fight to take back the Senate! It means the difference in getting rid of Obamacare, the Dodd-Frank regulations bill along with hundreds of other horrible acts committed by the current Dem Senate.
Some thoughts on North Carolina. We are still being called a swing state, which is kind of insane, for those of us on the ground here. NC barely (15,000 votes out of a population of 9 million) went for Obama in 2008. This year, the Republican nominee for governor (former Charlotte mayor Pat McCrory — watch for him in the 2020 presidential race) is going to trounce the Democrat, and there will probably be reverse coattails for Romney on that score. But still, I’m as happy as a clam to see Barry’s team spending money on ads here — it keeps them occupied with a losing cause.
I think that Barry gets a lot of his support from the soft racism of the American left — voting for him because he’s sort of black. Sort of. The kind of racism that’s wailed about by the left is almost non-existent. Oh, there are a few pathetic creatures who really hate people because of skin color, but they are very few. But to hear the left tell it, you’d think the Klan was out in sheets going door-to-door for Romney. If Barry didn’t have his slightly darker skin color, no one would have ever taken this inexperienced boob seriously.
I also agree with Kevin about the straight males (speaking as one…
who do the conservative websites and are afraid of being mocked. I’ve been saying for months that Romney would win a whopping victory, and even Romney supporters usually just say mournfully, “Well, I hope you’re right.” Grow a pair, guys! The worst that could happen would be that you’d be wrong, and I’d rather be wrong about a good cause than right about a bad one. And Barry, my friends, is a very, very bad cause.
In 2004 Obama/Biden signs were everywhere around my town. Most homes and businesses displayed multiple signage and every other car had at least one bumper sticker. But for the past several weeks of this 2012 campaign season, I literally could count the number of presidential candidate signs on one hand. Until today. As I drove to a kid’s soccer game, I was astounded (and overjoyed) to see that overnight there had been a veritable explosion of Romney/Ryan signs … like it was the first day of spring and the daffodils all decided to bloom at once. What a glorious sight. Can’t wait ’til Tuesday.
P.S. I counted five lawn signs for the other team.
PA and OH are energy states, coal, natural gas are key to economic growth in those states. I agree with Kevin, these states go R/R with two conservative senators to get across the finish line.
Hi Kevin,
I have never been to your website or read one of your articles, but I wanted to say thank you for an article well written!
Your insight into and perspective on fear porn and voter fraud pomp is a refreshing dose of logic. Thanks for the lesson!
Kevin, add to your list of union take downs, the rubber shops of Akron. I worked at BFGoodrich until it moved its production to N Carolina. Akron lost lots of production in the Rubber industry!
Tons of questionable early voting going on in my small western Iowa town from the Hispanic faction. Free tacos, other free stuff coupled with voting early actually may not have gotten the Dems a whole lot: newspaper reported just 52 votes were cast in total at all these events.
Hubby reported Christie Vilsack (running against GOP congressman Steve King) made a surprise visit to the weekly Saturday livestock auction today. Guess what? Nobody seemed to care!! Her other half is ex-Gov./current Sec’y of Ag under Obama.
For the last month, hubby has been manning the GOP headquarters handing out signs and registering people to vote. He’s had many, many folks stop in who admitted to voting for BO the last time but will NOT be supporting him this go-round. I know it’s a small microcosm, but the gal who picks up my advertising said they did a mock election at the local paper: 10 votes for Romney and just 3 for Obama.
Spot on assessment.
When floods come you see it in the animals like rats and snakes getting out of there before it comes. Animals seem to know.
You can already see leftist backing up, eyeing the exit door while going, “Sure Obama will win,” as they position themselves for the exit.
The coal miners are voting hard republican this year. They’re furious! Include their families in that vote.
The polls won’t show Ohio leaning Romney because if they do then that’s it. It’s over. The democrats might get completely demoralized at that point. They NEED to believe Ohio is not as lost as it is.
Even others are coming forward and admitting that Pennsylvania is likely to flip this year. The counties around Philly are trending Romney.
And Sandy is exploding in Obama’s face as people in NY are starving…
Kevin-I think your predictions re. PA are spot on. Everyone should remember PA voted in a Republican governor, Tom Corbett, and state house in 2010. In the same election, Pat Toomey (R) beat Joe Sestak ( or Sleestak) as some of like to call him, for US Senate.
Locally, I our county (Delaware), which borders Philadelphia, we voted in Republican Pat Meehan for Congress for the seat Joe Sestak gave up to run for senate.
I truly believe that momentum we had in 2010 still remains.
On a very local level I am praying that the momentum a PA Romney/Ryan win ushers in will finally help us boot out our local state rep Greg Vitali (D) for the Republican challenger Bill Toal.
I don’t see tons of yard signs either way this time around but being so close to the city I think many Romney supports here are keeping things close to the vest just as Clint said many Hollywood conservatives do.
Oh and BTW I was offline for a few hours and I return to see an explosion of comments on all your recent posts. Keep up the great work Kevin! Aside from scanning the headlines on Drudge, Hillbuzz is all I am reading these last few days before the election. Spending the rest of my time praying my rosary and crossing fingers and toes at the same time!
Try and spread the word about The Hope and the Change being on Hulu.com too.
HERE’S MY BIG IDEA…
If Kevin’s bold predictions largely come to pass and Romney proves the night’s runaway winner—and all the conservative hand-wringing, yellow journalism and MiniTru subterfuge to which we’ve been subjected proves the manipulative, groundless slop we always suspected—election night would be THE PERFECT TIME TO REWARD Kevin and Hillbuzz for showing such humor, tenacity and truthfulness during this often soul-sucking election cycle.
From subscribing to offering a one-time donation, ANY ONLINE GIFT to Kevin and Hillbuzz immediately following Romney’s big win would be the perfect “thank you”—for telling it like it is when few else did, and doing it with a humor and courage no one else showed.
When Romney’s electoral votes hit the high 200s—or even, if you can imagine, the low 300s—let’s all remember who called it first, and give Kevin a little something extra come election night!
PLEASE “UP VOTE” IF YOU’RE GAME!
My son lives in Cleveland, Ohio. He called me yesterday and told me he saw a truck with a large pull behind sign flashing : Vote for Mitt Romney”. How cool is this, in Cleveland, Ohio?
As a native Buckeye, I agree with your assessments. Places like Toledo and Cleveland might be blue, but they are surrounded by strong red counties. Although I presently live in a “safely red” state, I’ve been calming the fears of anyone who doubts a Romney win by telling them they are reading/listening to the wrong things if they are worried.
Buckeye, I note that even in Toledo there could be an unexpected swing. I saw a video that indicates that the people of Toledo might not follow the union when it comes to voting this year, as they lined up to get into a rally, the numbers were significant.
Please elaborate on the “lefties” preparing a site for a concession speech. Details please!!!!!!!!
http://hillbuzz.org/daily-doom-antidote-solid-proof-obama-is-planning-a-concession-speech-event-for-november-6th-election-night-10182012-10182012
Kevin for your consumption, and a great antidote at the Greenroom
http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2012/11/03/re-marist/
Also Kevin, it seems that your predictions are in the middle of some of the others that I have seen, including from the University of Colorado.
One set of predictions is for Romney 330, and there are others hitting a little bit lower.
The exception of course is that tool Nate Silver.
What I do not get is why people rely on Real Clear Politics when they are using skewed polls.
I feel good after reading your writing.I feel discouraged and angry looking at TV.Now i can sleep better! Thanks!,, its very informative ,nicely written